PredictionsEndorse2008 Senatorial Predictions - Cylon Candidate (D-LA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-09-27 Version:7

Prediction Map
Cylon Candidate MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Cylon Candidate MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Tos6
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+3+500012012+5
Rep000-2-3-514216-5
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic173653
Republican162642
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
483018
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 4

I have a feeling LA will stay Democratic with Obama on the ticket: he won't be used like Hillary would be in Kennedy's ads to link Landrieu to Hillary. Sure, there are racist white Louisianans who won't vote for any Democrat with Barrack as the nominee, but would these people vote Dem anyway? And Landrieu will outspend Kennedy a bit, cutting into his margins hopefully. Yes, black voters are displaced, but Obama can bring them out in large numbers. Besides, Katrina did hit some heavily GOP areas in the New Orleans area as well.

Minnesota will be close, but Coleman should run well with McCain as the nominee.


Version: 1

Based mostly off poll numbers as of now. Giving benefit of the doubt to Landrieu to win (maybe just overly optimistic).

Oklahoma will probably tighten up a bit, but Inhofe looks to easily pull it off unless Rice is a much better candidate than we think (still, being again optimistic).


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2014 Senate 34/36 22/36 56/72 77.8% pie 2 0 99T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 18/36 49/72 68.1% pie 1 0 56T300
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 4 0 47T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 20/33 50/66 75.8% pie 3 0 111T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 3 0 51T228
P 2010 Senate 35/37 22/37 57/74 77.0% pie 3 12 100T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 26/37 61/74 82.4% pie 4 6 29T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 3 10 56T103
P 2008 President 52/56 33/56 85/112 75.9% pie 12 1 357T1,505
P 2008 Senate 30/33 18/33 48/66 72.7% pie 7 38 172T407
P 2008 Governor 10/11 9/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 1 27T264
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 4 2 1T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 25/33 58/66 87.9% pie 18 0 10T465
P 2006 Governor 36/36 22/36 58/72 80.6% pie 14 1 44T312
Aggregate Predictions 395/420 273/420 668/840 79.5% pie


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