Date of Prediction: 2008-09-27 Version:7
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 66)
Analysis
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Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 4 I have a feeling LA will stay Democratic with Obama on the ticket: he won't be used like Hillary would be in Kennedy's ads to link Landrieu to Hillary. Sure, there are racist white Louisianans who won't vote for any Democrat with Barrack as the nominee, but would these people vote Dem anyway? And Landrieu will outspend Kennedy a bit, cutting into his margins hopefully. Yes, black voters are displaced, but Obama can bring them out in large numbers. Besides, Katrina did hit some heavily GOP areas in the New Orleans area as well. Version: 1 Based mostly off poll numbers as of now. Giving benefit of the doubt to Landrieu to win (maybe just overly optimistic).
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