Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:39
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 66)
Analysis
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Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 36 Same scenario as my Presidential prediction. Also, the Democrats take the Wicker seat in MS. Version: 26 Mississippi for Musgrove. Version: 18 This follows the Presidential prediction, where there is a 1964 style loss for the GOP. Version: 17 From now on, my Senatorial predictions will go along with my Presidential predictions, so this one follows the tickets of Clinton/Richarson v. McCain/Huckabee. Version: 15 Every single Senate seat that is not nailed down to the floor is taken by the Democrats, along with a massive electoral landslide, which is reflected in my Presidential Prediction. Version: 13 Gave LA back to Landrieu Version: 11 With Lamar Alexander now being in the GOP leadership, I think it will hurt his reelection bid. He will still win, but it will be close. Version: 7 Every seat we can win, we do win. In Georgia, Cleland wins a rematch with Chambliss. In Alaska, Stevens is ousted in the primary, and the GOP loses a very tight race. Ford enters in Tennessee, and knocks off Alexander in another extremely close battle. In Kentucky, McConnell is connected with Bush, and suffers for it. In North Carolina, Easely decides to enter, and beats Dole in a slim victory. Version: 6 No candidate in Louisiana makes it a lean Democratic based on the incumbent. Version: 5 With the numbers on McConnell so low, it looks like the Democrats have a chance to pull off the upset. Version: 4 The 5 Closest States: Version: 3 My last version was the best Democratic scenario, and this is the best Republican scenario. All of the GOP pickups are possinle except for Arkansas and New Jersey, which would only switch in a GOP landslide. Version: 2 This is the ABSOLUTE best possible scenario for the Democrats. In order to do this, the Presidential race would need to be an absolute landslide, and several announced things would have to change. Version: 1 I may be too optimistic to give Oregon and New Mexico to the Democrats, but I think that these Democratic-leaning states will be very close, but give the Democrats a victory in the end.
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