Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:13

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	14
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+3	+7	0	0	0	12	0	12	+7
Rep	0	0	0	-4	-3	-7	12	2	14	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	36	55
Republican	14	26	40
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
55	32	23

Analysis

Alabama: Sessions (R) 66, Figures (D) 34
Alaska: Begich (D) 55, Stevens (R) 42, Other 3
Arkansas: Pryor (D) 87, Kennedy (G) 13
Colorado: M. Udall (D) 54, Schaeffer (R) 45, Other 1
Delaware: Biden (D) 65, O'Donnell (R) 35
Georgia: Chambliss (R) 49, Martin (D) 47, Buckley (L) 4
Idaho: Risch (R) 61, LaRocco (D) 37, Other 2
Illinois: Durbin (D) 63, Sauerberg (R) 36, Other 1
Iowa: Harkin (D) 59, Reed (R) 41
Kansas: Roberts (R) 59, Slattery (D) 38, Other 3
Kentucky: McConnell (R) 54, Lunsford (D) 46
Louisiana: Landrieu (D) 53, Kennedy (R) 45, Other 2
Maine: Collins (R) 57, Allen (D) 43
Massachusetts: Kerry (D) 62, Beatty (R) 36, Other 2
Michigan: Levin (D) 61, Hoogendyk (R) 37, Other 2
Minnesota: Coleman (R) 45, Franken (D) 41, Barkley (MIP) 13, Other 1
Mississippi A: Cochran (R) 63, Fleming (D) 37
Mississippi B: Wicker (R) 54, Musgrove (D) 46
Montana: Baucus (D) 68, Kelleher (R) 32
Nebraska: Johanns (R) 58, Kleeb (D) 40, Other 2
New Hampshire: Shaheen (D) 53, Sununu (R) 46, Other 1
New Jersey: Lautenberg (D) 56, Zimmer (R) 42, Other 2
New Mexico: T. Udall (D) 57, Pearce (R) 43
North Carolina: Hagan (D) 52, Dole (R) 46, Cole (L) 2
Oklahoma: Inhofe (R) 59, Rice (D) 38, Wallace (I) 3
Oregon: Merkley (D) 51, Smith (R) 46, Brownlow (C) 3
Rhode Island: Reed (D) 75, Tingle (R) 25
South Carolina: Graham (R) 57, Conley (D) 43
South Dakota: Johnson (D) 62, Dykstra (R) 38
Tennessee: Alexander (R) 62, Tuke (D) 37, Other 1
Texas: Cornyn (R) 54, Noriega (D) 44, Other 2
Virginia: Warner (D) 62, Gilmore (R) 36, Other 2
West Virginia: Rockefeller (D) 61, Wolfe (R) 38, Other 1
Wyoming A: Enzi (R) 72, Rothfuss (D) 28
Wyoming B: Barasso (R) 65, Carter (D) 35

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2022 Senate	30/35	24/35	54/70	77.1%	3	1	205	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	25/36	56/72	77.8%	2	1	158	T	272
2020 President	53/56	35/56	88/112	78.6%	7	7	480	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	18/35	48/70	68.6%	6	4	337	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	3	36	51	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%	7	1	42	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%	6	3	18	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	11	40	T	149
2016 President	47/56	28/56	75/112	67.0%	19	1	440	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	17/34	47/68	69.1%	10	23	213	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	6/12	14/24	58.3%	2	33	67	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%	1	3	60	T	382
2012 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%	5	47	182	T	760
2012 Rep Primary	23/52	11/52	34/104	32.7%	16	-	137	T	231
2010 Senate	31/37	16/37	47/74	63.5%	2	99	280	T	456
2008 President	52/56	46/56	98/112	87.5%	22	1	41	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%	13	1	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	5	1	86	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	92	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	25/33	58/66	87.9%	16	1	10	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	31/36	65/72	90.3%	13	1	1	T	312
2004 President	56/56	41/56	97/112	86.6%	52	1	24	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	672/757	480/757	1152/1514	76.1%

Links

Back to 2008 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home