PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Predictions - trobster (D-WA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-22 Version:1

Prediction Map
trobster MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
trobster MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem16
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind0
 
Tos9
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+2+300012719+3
Rep0000-2-210515-2
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic223860
Republican152338
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
412813
piepiepie

Analysis

Best case scenario


Member Comments
 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2010-10-22 @ 17:31:35 prediction Map
???

 By: MilesC56 (C-VA) 2010-10-22 @ 17:47:35 prediction Map
Meek winning? hahahahahahahaha

 By: CR (--MO) 2010-10-22 @ 18:47:22 prediction Map
If this map happens I'll move to Chile.

 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2010-10-22 @ 18:49:42 prediction Map
If this happens, I will die of shock.

 By: MilesC56 (C-VA) 2010-10-22 @ 19:21:32 prediction Map
Its pretty good in my book! Except FL should be I>40 instead of D>40!

 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2010-10-22 @ 19:31:11 prediction Map
And MO should be D>50.

: )

 By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2010-10-23 @ 01:26:45 prediction Map
If this happens Ill piss my pants !...then buy a new pair.

 By: Olawakandi (D-CA) 2010-10-23 @ 11:04:21 prediction Map
Certainly the best case scenario but a few months ago this was what the Dems were expecting having had a lead on the generic ballot.

 By: MilesC56 (C-VA) 2010-10-23 @ 11:18:26 prediction Map
Yep, if this were a neutral year, Dems would be pretty safe in IL,WI, WV,PA,possibly even CO. The tossups would be states like AR,FL, NC ad NH.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2010 Senate 28/37 13/37 41/74 55.4% pie 1 11 375T456
P 2008 President 52/56 27/56 79/112 70.5% pie 1 309 537T1,505
P 2008 Dem Primary 9/52 1/52 10/104 9.6% pie 1 - 228T271
Aggregate Predictions 89/145 41/145 130/290 44.8% pie


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