Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-10-28 Version:8

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	16
Rep	20
Ind	1
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	9
Rep	20
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-1	-2	-3	11	5	16	-3
Rep	+1	+2	+3	0	-1	-1	10	7	17	+2
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	38	54
Republican	20	23	43
Independent	1	2	3

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
50	32	18

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 2

* Reid wins comfortably in Nevada.

* Pennsylvania will require a recount.

* Rubio wins in Florida with 2% lead over Crist.

Version: 1

Sestak, Feingold, Murray, & Bennett stay in office

Lincoln is the only incumbent Democrat to lose

Crist becomes another independent in the Senate and...caucuses with the Democrats.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	32/36	19/36	51/72	70.8%	7	1	200	T	382
2012 President	55/56	40/56	95/112	84.8%	17	81	314	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	21/33	51/66	77.3%	2	40	94	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	8/52	43/104	41.3%	7	-	102	T	231
2010 Senate	32/37	18/37	50/74	67.6%	8	5	221	T	456
2008 President	52/56	39/56	91/112	81.3%	15	8	200	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	15/33	46/66	69.7%	1	26	227	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%	1	26	183	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	30/52	13/52	43/104	41.3%	2	-	90	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	28/49	6/49	34/98	34.7%	2	-	111	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	15/33	47/66	71.2%	1	44	232	T	465
2004 President	51/56	31/56	82/112	73.2%	32	1	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	418/504	230/504	648/1008	64.3%