Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:5

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	9
Rep	28
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	9
Rep	21
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-5	-10	7	2	9	-10
Rep	+5	+5	+10	0	0	0	10	8	18	+10
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	9	38	47
Republican	28	23	51
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
56	32	24

Analysis

Yeah, I know...but a guy can dream can't he?

Happy Election Day Eve!

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 4

How happy and/or powerful do you think Joe Lieberman would be if this happened? Not to mention the other Joe and his tie breaking vote. Or would all this be rendered moot by the Presidential veto?

Version: 3

This map is based on the "Cook Political Report"'s analysis.

From the "Cook Political Report":

Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.
Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss Up: These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning.

--------------------------------

I've changed their "Solid" to our "Strong";
their "Likely" to our "Lean";
their "Lean" to our "Toss Up" with the favored party selected;
and their "Toss Up" to our "Toss Up" with "Independent" selected.

--------------------------------

Hope you find it interesting!

Version: 2

A man can dream can't he?

No, I don't actually think this will happen.

A lot of things would have to go right for the Republicans. Well, rather, a lot of things would have to go wrong for the Democrats.

Version: 1

Hey everyone! Glad to be back!

Does anyone else here love a good election? Hehe, you don't have to answer that!

Only a little over 10 months till the big day!...

I've had my break, had a nice smoke, now I'm ready to get back to it!

After the Massachusetts election, I'm ready to go!

Now....GO!

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	48/56	38/56	86/112	76.8%	2	169	591	T	760
2012 Rep Primary	29/52	7/52	36/104	34.6%	2	-	124	T	231
2010 Senate	32/37	24/37	56/74	75.7%	5	1	116	T	456
2008 President	50/56	39/56	89/112	79.5%	54	131	247	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%	4	96	172	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	2	140	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	42/52	24/52	66/104	63.5%	22	-	26	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	42/49	19/49	61/98	62.2%	39	-	9	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	284/346	176/346	460/692	66.5%