Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:4
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 74)
Analysis
Reluctantly flipped Nevada and Illinois to GOP. I know the polls show PA going to Toomey, but I have a feeling Dem turnout is predicted to be too low in the polls and I feel that Sestak will pull it off. Colorado is as tossup as tossup can get, but I will give the edge to Bennet.
Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 3 Flipped West Virginia and Wisconsin. Version: 2 Both Washington and California are right on the tossup/lean line, just decided to go with lean due to the state. Wisconsin is probably my most questionable pick, I just have a feeling Feingold will pull it out, though we might know no the result on Election Night.
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