PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Predictions - BlueDonkey (D-OH) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-02 Version:44

Prediction Map
BlueDonkey MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
BlueDonkey MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind1
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem9
 
pie
Rep22
 
Ind0
 
Tos6
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-3-4-79312-7
Rep+3+4+70-1-110717+6
Ind0+1+1000000+1


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic123850
Republican242347
Independent123
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
633627
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 18

I can see why Evan Bayh is retiring. Partisanship has brought gridlock to Washington and made many Americans disgusted with the government. Republicans amaze me: they make government disgusting then they run against it.


Version: 17

Believe me when I say Lee Fisher will be the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate from the great state of Ohio. Lee Fisher will beat George W. Bush's Director of the Office of Management and Budget Rob Portman.


Version: 16

Believe me when I say Lee Fisher will be the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate from the great state of Ohio. Lee Fisher will beat George W. Bush's Director of the Office of Management and Budget Rob Portman.


Version: 12

2010 is similar to 1982 in so many ways. During Reagan's first year in office, unemployment was a major problem. We are seeing the exact same thing in Obama's first year in office. The last time unemployment was this was.....wait for it.... the early 1980s. The voters are frustrated with the deplorable state of the country and the economy. This is why it is so funny Republicans think Obama's presidency is over. Was Reagan's presidency over after the 1982 midterm elections? I wish it had been but it wasn't.

Democrats are bound to lose at least 5 seats in the Senate and a couple dozen of House seats. Historically, the party in power almost ALWAYS loses seats.

The five close races of the night are going to be Delaware, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Missouri, and Colorado. I may put more of these states in the Democratic column if the national situation improves between now and November.


Version: 3

There is no way in hell Republicans can recapture Congress in 2010. They just want to have a repeat of 1994 and 1980 in 2010 and 2012 respectively. They want to make Obama come off as Jimmy Carter while killing desperately needed health care reform like they did under Bill Clinton. Then there will be a Romney Revolution! LMAO. Republicans are losers.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2012 President 55/56 44/56 99/112 88.4% pie 20 1 146T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 14/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 15 211T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 5/11 16/22 72.7% pie 1 246 89T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 41/52 16/52 57/104 54.8% pie 44 - 56T231
P 2010 Senate 36/37 27/37 63/74 85.1% pie 44 0 11T456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 20 5 29T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 5 56T103
P 2008 President 52/56 47/56 99/112 88.4% pie 191 0 26T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 22/33 55/66 83.3% pie 20 1 28T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 7 21 86T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 44/52 19/52 63/104 60.6% pie 44 - 34T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 35/49 9/49 44/98 44.9% pie 40 - 85T235
Aggregate Predictions 383/429 237/429 620/858 72.3% pie



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