Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2009-11-22 Version:1

Prediction Map

mgrossbe Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

mgrossbe Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	18
Rep	18
Ind	0
Non	1

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	13
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	10
Non	1

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+2	+2	-2	0	-2	14	2	16	0
Rep	+2	0	+2	0	-2	-2	12	4	16	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	38	56
Republican	18	23	41
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
38	25	13

Analysis

prelimanary really cant say until after primaries are done. intil that point or major changes in polling this is my outlook.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	25/37	13/37	38/74	51.4%		1	345	408	T	456
2009 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%		1	132	92	T	103
2008 President	53/56	34/56	87/112	77.7%		6	2	306	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	23/33	56/66	84.8%		5	2	14	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	10/11	21/22	95.5%		3	2	3	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	112	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	26/33	58/66	87.9%		11	9	10	T	465
2006 Governor	36/36	24/36	60/72	83.3%		8	1	32	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	194/211	133/211	327/422	77.5%

User Info

mgrossbe Forum Profile

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