Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:26

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	10
Rep	27
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	9
Rep	22
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-4	-9	7	3	10	-9
Rep	+5	+4	+9	0	0	0	10	8	18	+9
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	10	38	48
Republican	27	23	50
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
59	33	26

Analysis

LAST PREDICTION!

NH: Ayotte+15
VT: Leahy+32
CT: Blumenthal+10
NY: Schumer+28
NY S: Gillibrand+17
PA: Toomey+5
DE: Coons+19
MD: Mikulski+23
WV: Manchin+3
NC: Burr+16
SC: DeMint+36
GA: Isakson+20
FL: Rubio+14 (Crist in 2nd)
AL: Shelby+39
KY: Paul+10
OH: Portman+13
IN: Coats+17
WI: Johnson+7
IL: Kirk+4
IA: Grassley+26
MO: Blunt+15
AR: Boozman+19
LA: Vitter+16
ND: Hoeven+44
SD: Thune+99
KS: Moran+34
OK: Coburn+38
CO: Buck+3
ID: Crapo+44
UT: Lee+28
AZ: McCain+23
NV: Angle+4
WA: Rossi+ <1 (not at all sure here!!!)
OR: Wyden+17
CA: Boxer+4
AK: Miller+3 (Murkowski in 2nd)
HI: Inouye+28

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	55/56	45/56	100/112	89.3%	10	1	115	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	22/33	53/66	80.3%	4	1	56	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%	3	1	131	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	48/52	29/52	77/104	74.0%	26	-	1		231
2010 Senate	33/37	26/37	59/74	79.7%	26	1	63	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	26/37	61/74	82.4%	10	1	29	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	7	1	1	T	103
2008 President	53/56	48/56	101/112	90.2%	20	1	6	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%	14	0	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	3	1	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	38/52	17/52	55/104	52.9%	19	-	61	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	40/49	7/49	47/98	48.0%	10	-	64	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	0/3	3/6	50.0%	1	105	135	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	391/432	257/432	648/864	75.0%