Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-07 Version:3

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	12
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-1	-3	-4	14	3	17	-3
Rep	+1	+3	+4	-1	-1	-2	5	3	8	+2
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	30	49
Republican	12	37	49
Independent	2	0	2

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 1

At this point, I see the Democrats keeping the Senate, but only by a 51-49 margin, picking up Nevada, but losing Nebraska, North Dakota, and Wisconsin.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%	9	1	182	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	16/33	48/66	72.7%	4	1	144	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%	2	1	131	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	28/52	10/52	38/104	36.5%	6	-	114	T	231
Aggregate Predictions	125/152	74/152	199/304	65.5%

User Info

pmm326 Senatorial Endorsements

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