Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-09 Version:3

Prediction Map

James Lay Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

James Lay Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	12
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-1	-2	-3	14	4	18	-3
Rep	+1	+2	+3	0	-1	-1	6	3	9	+2
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	30	49
Republican	12	37	49
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	30/35	18/35	48/70	68.6%		1	355	306	T	483
2016 President	48/56	23/56	71/112	63.4%		1	430	552	T	678
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%		1	430	164	T	279
2014 Senate	30/36	18/36	48/72	66.7%		2	420	240	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	13/36	43/72	59.7%		2	420	192	T	300
2012 President	54/56	40/56	94/112	83.9%		9	19	367	T	760
2012 Senate	29/33	19/33	48/66	72.7%		3	28	144	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		4	11	51	T	228
2010 Senate	32/37	16/37	48/74	64.9%		1	11	265	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	18/37	51/74	68.9%		1	11	158	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	303/349	177/349	480/698	68.8%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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