We have a tie!

I'm a Southern Illinois Guy. Republicans are everywhere here save for around the Riverbend near St Louis (where I live) So when a certain congressman went on tv and said "Legitimate Rape"..... I just heard "republican from Missouri" not seeking senate seat, not governor, not even congress, I just heard "republican from Missouri says L.R.... and i began laughing, because I knew excatly whom they were talking about. The district he represents is directly across the river from me here. If i shot a gun across the river, it would land in his district, so we know his whacky issues enough over here. His flap has shifted the balance of the senate from GOP control to WIN THE WHITEHOUSE

Changes:

In GOP Favor:

Florida: Lean Democrat to Tossup Republican. Longshot Connie Mack is polling far better against Bill Nelson than any of us thought.

North Dakota: Tossup to Lean Republican. While Heidi is running a flawless campaign that is giving the GOP headaches, the state is just too much of a republican oasis.

Montana: See North Dakota

Nevada: Once appointed, Heck is doing one heck of a job against Berkley.

Nebraska: Lean to Strong GOP. The woman who came out of nowhere to win the primary is polling double digits over Kerrey already. Unless she pulls a Todd Akin, she has this in the bag.

Wisconsin: This was a democrat seat a few weeks ago, but Tommy Thompson derailed the primary attempt to destroy him, and he is leading comfortably. Add the Walker victory, and the Paul Ryan Pick, Wisconsin is my suprise for 2012 in all races.

IN DEMOCRATS FAVOR:

Missouri: Tossup Republican to Tossup Democrat. This could easily turn into a Solid Democrat, but Missouri is the state that voted for a dead guy once, and has in 3 straight elections for this particular senate seat voted out the incumbent. Add onto that a strong GOP congressional delegation, Romney doing well here, and their Popular governor who won with 60% in 2008 is polling in low 50's.

Massachusetts: Brown is still leading in polls, but when push comes to shove he needs to bring hundreds of thousands of Obama voters over to his side, and I just see this slipping away despite polling.

Virginia: Allen barely lost in 2006, and It's looking like it will be just as close in 2012. The National race will be the deciding factor. If obama loses, i think allen wins.

New Mexico: Tossup to Lean Democrat. Republicans finally got a high profile name to the table in New Mexico, and it doesn't matter. :)

Hawaii: Tossup Republican to Lean Democrat. Linda Lingle is by far the most dissapointing candidate of the election. A popular governor, I thought she'd be polling somewhere in the margin of error, instead she's out by 10 consistantly.