Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-03 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+2	+3	0	-2	-2	15	4	19	+1
Rep	0	+2	+2	-1	-2	-3	5	2	7	-1
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	30	52
Republican	9	37	46
Independent	2	0	2

Analysis

The GOP has run a very uninspiring Senate campaign this time and some local GOP candidates have put their foot in it as well, versus the disciplined and well rounded team the Democrats have put up this time. Also, questions should be asked if the Tea Party grassroots are helping or hindering the party in the end?

EDIT: Accidentally coloured in North Dakota Democratic, when I meant Republican. Stupid different Red/Blue colour scheme!

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	55/56	42/56	97/112	86.6%	3	3	227	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%	1	3	20	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%	1	3	1	T	228
Aggregate Predictions	98/100	74/100	172/200	86.0%

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