Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:1

Prediction Map

kylesammin Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

kylesammin Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	15
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	10
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-3	-3	-6	12	3	15	-5
Rep	+3	+4	+7	-1	-1	-2	5	3	8	+5
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	30	46
Republican	15	37	52
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	49/56	37/56	86/112	76.8%		11	0	591	T	760
2012 Senate	26/33	12/33	38/66	57.6%		1	1	283	T	343
2010 Senate	29/37	17/37	46/74	62.2%		1	147	291	T	456
2008 President	48/56	25/56	73/112	65.2%		19	7	791	T	1,505
2004 President	54/56	32/56	86/112	76.8%		42	1	591	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	206/238	123/238	329/476	69.1%

Links

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