Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-21 Version:1

Prediction Map

Bruinspolisci Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Bruinspolisci Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	7
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	5
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	+1	+3	0	-1	-1	15	5	20	+2
Rep	0	+1	+1	-2	-2	-4	4	2	6	-3
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	24	30	54
Republican	7	37	44
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	47/56	24/56	71/112	63.4%		2	192	552	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	15/34	44/68	64.7%		1	192	302	T	362
2012 President	47/56	37/56	84/112	75.0%		2	16	630	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	15/33	45/66	68.2%		1	16	198	T	343
2010 Senate	29/37	15/37	44/74	59.5%		1	161	321	T	456
2008 President	52/56	33/56	85/112	75.9%		24	1	357	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	16/33	47/66	71.2%		5	23	204	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	14/52	8/52	22/104	21.2%		4	-	192	T	271
2004 President	52/56	31/56	83/112	74.1%		23	3	926	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	331/413	194/413	525/826	63.6%

Links

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