Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-08-18 Version:1

Prediction Map

zorkpolitics Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

zorkpolitics Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	20
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-4	-4	-8	12	1	13	-8
Rep	+4	+4	+8	0	0	0	12	3	15	+8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	13	32	45
Republican	23	30	53
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	35	17

Analysis

I'm betting undecided fall mostly against the Democrats leading to a net 8 pickup for the GOP

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	51/56	32/56	83/112	74.1%		1	9	114	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	18/34	49/68	72.1%		1	9	120	T	362
2014 Senate	35/36	17/36	52/72	72.2%		1	78	177	T	382
2012 President	51/56	42/56	93/112	83.0%		5	184	401	T	760
2012 Senate	26/33	9/33	35/66	53.0%		2	171	307	T	343
2008 President	48/56	25/56	73/112	65.2%		2	93	791	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%		1	135	207	T	465
Aggregate Predictions	272/304	161/304	433/608	71.2%

Links

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