Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction States Won

		19 |	36 |	50 |
Dem	15
Rep	20
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 |	36 |	50 |
Dem	11
Rep	15
Ind	0
Tos	10
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-3	-4	-7	13	1	14	-6
Rep	+3	+4	+7	-1	-1	-2	11	2	13	+5
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats Democratic 15 32 47 Republican 20 30 50 Independent 1 2 3

Analysis

Democrats keep the majority in the US Senate by holding onto MI,NH,NC,and LA(Landrieu-D either gets 50.1 percent in November or wins the December runoff since she will end up being the 48th seat if she were to win). Democrats will pick up GA-Nunn-D gets 50.1 percent in November or wins December runoff since she will end up being the 49th seat if she were to win. That leaves us KS- Orman-I wins by a plurality. He decides to caucus with the Democrats after Landrieu-LA and Nunn-GA victories in December.

Prediction History

Comments History - hide

Version: 96

Democrats keep the majority in the US Senate by holding onto MI,NH,NC,and LA(Landrieu-D either gets 50.1 percent in November or wins the December runoff since she will end up being the 48th seat if she were to win). Democrats will pick up GA-Nunn-D gets 50.1 percent in November or wins December runoff since she will end up being the 49th seat if she were to win. That leaves us KS- Orman-I wins by a plurality. He decides to caucus with the Democrats after Landrieu-LA and Nunn-GA victories in December.

Version: 95

Republicans are strongly favored to hold onto AL,WY,OK-a,OK-b,ME,ID,NE,SC-b,TX,SC-a,TN,and MS <br /> Republicans are strongly favored to pick up MT,WV,and SD. +3R<br /> Republicans have a floor of 45 seats- they pick up MT,WV,and SD but could lose KY,GA,and KS. <br /> Democrats are strongly favored to win<br /> HI,MA,RI,NM,DE,VA,OR,IL,and NJ.<br /> Lean Democratic hold states are MN,MI,CO,NC,and NH. <br /> Democrats have a floor of 48 seats- They lost MT,WV,and SD and could lose AR,AK,LA,and IA. <br /> Democrats narrowly win IA- 49 seats. <br /> Republicans narrowly win KY,GA-Nov,and AR- 48 seats. <br /> Seats in play are AK,LA,and KS. <br /> Orman-I wins the KS US Senate rate- does not declare which side he will caucus with, The LA US Senate race will be decided in the December runoff, AK is going to decide which party controls the US Senate. <br /> If Begich-D wins, Democrats will have 50 seats(Sanders-VT and King-ME caucus with the Democrats and Braley-IA is expected to narrowly win, Orman(I-KS) decides to caucus with the Democrats and Landrieu-D wins the December runoff. 52 seats. <br /> If Sullivan-R wins- Republicans will have 49 seats, Orman(I-KS) does not declare which side he will caucus with until the winner is decided in the LA December runoff- If Cassidy-R win the LA December runoff- The US Senate breakdown will be 50R,47+2D=49D, Orman(I-KS) can caucus with the Republicans- giving Republicans control of the US Senate or caucus with the Democrats giving Democrats control of the US Senate. <br /> Republicans win the open Democratic held seats in MT,WV,SD,and IA, and unseat Vulnerable Democratic incumbents in AR and AK, -6D/+5R (Republicans lose the KS US Senate Race. Republicans win the LA December runoff out of fear that Orman-I will caucus with the Democrats- Republicans regain control of the US Senate with or without Orman-I <br /> The DSCC must win states are in CO,NC,NH,IA,and either AK,AR,or KS. <br />

Version: 76

The way Republicans can regain control of the US Senate if the lose KY and GA.

Version: 75

US Senate Election result where Walsh(D-MT) wins a hard fought race and Democrats keep control of the US Senate.

Version: 71

McConnell(R-KY) loses re-election to Grimes-D and Republicans regain control of the US Senate. <br />rnDemocrats are going to hold onto NH,IA,AK and AR <br />rnRepublican have to win.<br />rnGA,SD,WV,MT,MI,CO,NC,and LA- runoff.

Version: 23

2014 US Senate Election
AL- Sessions-R 32
AK- Begich-D 35
AR- Cotton-R 33
CO- Udall-D 36
DE- Coons-D 37
GA- Handel-R 34
HI- Schatz-D 38
ID- Rish-R 35
IL- Durbin-D 39
IA- Braley-D 40
KS- Roberts-R 36
KY- McConnell-R 37
LA- Landrieu-D 41
ME- Collins-R 38
MA- Markey-D 42
MI- Peters-D 43
MN- Franken-D 44
MS- Cochran-R 39
MT- Daines-R 40
NE- Osborn-R 41
NH- Shaheen-D 45
NJ- Booker-D 46
NM- Udall-D 47
NC- Hagan-D 48
OK- Inhofe-R 42
OR- Merkley-D 49
RI- Reed-D 50
SC- Graham-R 43
SC-Scott-R 44
SD-Rounds-R 45
TN- Alexander-R 46
TX- Cornyn-R 47
VA- Warner-D 51
WV- Capito-R 48
WY- Enzi-R 49

Version: 22

Republicans guide to regaining control of the US Senate in 2014.
Holding onto:
KY(McConnell-R vs Grimes-D)
GA(Handel-R vs Nunn-D)
Picking up:
WV(Capito-R vs Fletcher-D)
SD(Rounds-R vs Weiland-D)
MT(Stapleton-R vs Juneau-D)
AR(Cotton-R vs Pryor-D)
LA(Cassidy-R vs Landrieu-D)
AK(Treadwell-R vs Begich-D)
Republicans have a 50-50 chance of picking up
NC(Tillis-R vs Hagan-D)- recount state.
Democrats will hold onto
IA(Braley-D vs Whitaker-R)
MI(Peters-D vs Land-R)

Version: 21

This is the likely outcome for the 2014 US Senate Election.

Version: 20

Republican held US Senate seats that have a 50-50 chance of flipping to the Democratic collumn in 2014.
ME- Collins-R gets Teabagged in the Republican primary. The TeaParty endorse Republican nominee loses to the Generic Democratic nominee.- Baldacci-D or Pingree-D.
GA- Nunn-D vs (Gingrey-R or Broun-R)
KY- Grimes-D vs McConnell-R
MS- Cochran-R retires. Hood-D runs on the Democratic side. Republicans have a divisive primary.

Version: 19

Democratic Held Seats.
Likely Republican Takeover
WV(OPEN-Rockefeller-D)Capito-R
SD(OPEN-Johnson-D)Rounds-R
Lean Republican Takeover
MT(OPEN-Baucus-D) Daines-R
AR(Pryor-D) Cotton-R
Lean Democratic
LA(Landrieu-D)
MI(OPEN-Levin-D) Peters-D
AK(Begich-D)
IA(OPEN-Harkin-D) Braley-D
NC(Hagan-D)
Likely Democratic
CO(Udall-D)
MA(Markey-D)
MN(Franken-D)
NH(Shaheen-D)
NJ(Booker-D)
OR(Merkley-D)
Solid Democratic
VA(Warner-D)
NM(Udall-D)
HI(Schatz-D) Hanabusa-D
DE(Coons-D)
IL(Durbin-D)
RI(Reed-D)

Version: 18

A scenario where Republicans regain control of the US Senate but Mitch McConnell(R-KY) loses re-election forcing Republicans to select a new Majority Leader.

Version: 17

Democrats lose WV-Capito-R, SD-Rounds-R, MT- (Daines-R) and AR- (Cotton-R)
Democrats hold onto AK-Begich-D, IA-Braley-D, LA-Landrieu-D, MI-Peters-D, and NC-Hagan-D.
Republicans can lose GA and KY.

Version: 16

Solid Democratic
DE-(Coons-D)35D
HI-(Hanabusa-D)36D
IL-(Durbin-D)37D
NM-(Udall-D)38D
OR-(Merkley-D)39D
RI-(Reed-D)40D
Solid Republican
AL-(Sessions-R)32R
ID-(Risch-R)33R
KS-(Roberts-R)34R
NE-(Heineman-R)35R
OK-(Inhofe-R)36R
SC-(Graham-R)37R
SC-(Scott-R)38R
TN-(Alexander-R)39R
TX-(Cornyn-R)40R
WY-(Enzi-R)41R
Likely Democratic
CO-(Udall-D)41D
IA-(Braley-D)42D
MA-(Markey-D)43D
MI-(Peters-D)44D
MN-(Franken-D)45D
NH-(Shaheen-D)46D
NJ-(Booker-D)47D
VA-(Warner-D)48D
Likely Republican
ME-(Collins-R)42R
SD-(Rounds-R)43R
WV-(Capito-R)44R
Lean Democratic
AK-(Begich-D)49D
LA-(Landrieu-D)50D
MT-(Schweitzer-D)51D
NC-(Hagan-D)52D
Lean Republican
AR-(Cotton-R)45R
GA-(Handel-R)46R
KY-(McConnell-R)47R
MS-(Harper-R)48R

Version: 15

The likely outcome for the 2014 US Senate Election.
Non Competive US Senate Races.
Democratic Held Seats.
AK- Begich-D vs Coons-R 35D
DE- Coons-D vs O'Donnell-R 36D
HI- Hanabusa-D vs Djou-R 37D
IL- Durbin-D vs Walsh-R 38D
IA- Braley-D vs Vander Platts-R 39D
MA- Markey-D vs Gomez-R 40D
MN- Franken-D vs Bachmann-R 41D
NJ- Booker-D vs Rivera-R 42D
NH- Shaheen-D vs Bradley-R 43D
NM- Udall-D vs Sanchez-R 44D
OR- Merkley-D vs ?????-R 45D
RI- Reed-D 46D
VA- Warner-D vs McDonell-R 47D
Republican Held Seats.
AL- Sessions-R 32R
ID- Risch-R 33R
KS- Roberts-R 34R
ME- Collins-R vs Pingree-D 35R
NE- Heineman-R vs Beutler-D 36R
OK- Inhofe-R 37R
SC- Graham-R vs Stamper-D 38R
TN- Alexander-R vs Brown-D 39R
WY- Enzi-R 40R
Potentially Competitive US Senate Seats.
Democratic Held Seats.
CO- Udall-D vs Norton-R 48D
MI- Peters-D vs Amash-R 49D
MT- Schweitzer-D vs Daines-R 50D

Version: 14

Solid Democratic
35)DE(Coons-D)
36)HI(Hanabusa-D)
37)IL(Durbin-D)
38)MA(Markey-D)
39)NJ(Booker-D)
40)NM(Udall-D)
41)OR(Merkley-D)
42)RI(Reed-D)
43)VA(Warner-D)
Solid Republican
32)AL(Sessions-R)
33)ID(Risch-R)
34)KS(Roberts-R)
35)ME(Collins-R)
36)NE(Heineman-R)
37)OK(Inhofe-R)
38)SC(Graham-R)
39)SC(SCott-R)
40)TN(Alexander-R)
41)TX(Cornyn-R)
42)WY(Enzi-R)
Likely Democratic
44)CO(Udall-D)
45)IA(Braley-D)
46)MI(Peters-D)
47)MN(Franken-D)
48)NH(Shaheen-D)
Likely Republican
43)WV(Capito-R)
Lean Democratic
49)AK(Begich-D)
50)LA(Landrieu-D)
51)MT(Schweitzer-D)
52)NC(Hagan-D)
Lean Republican
44)AR(Cotton-R)
45)GA(Gingrey-R)
46)KY(McConnell-R)
47)MS(Harper-R)
48)SD(Rounds-R)

Version: 13

Republicans are favored to hold onto
GA- Kingston-R,Gingrey-R,or Broun-R defeats the Democratic nominee.
KY- McConnell-R wins re-election over Grimes-D by a single digit margin.
MS- Assuming Cochran-R retires, Democrats nominate Taylor-D, Republicans are narrowly favored to defeat Taylor.
NE- Heineman-R
Republicans are favored to pick up
WV- Capito-R
SD- Rounds-R
AR- Cotton-R unseats Pryor-D.
Democrats are favored to hold onto.
AK- Begich-D defeats Treadwell-R
HI- Hanabusa-D defeats Schatz in primary, wins general.
IA- Braley-D
LA-Landrieu-D defeats Cassidy-R
MA-Markey-D defeats Gomez-R in the special by a single digit margin, and double digit in November 2014.
MI- Peters-D
MT-Schweitzer-D
NJ- Booker-D
NC-Hagan-D

Version: 12

This is the best case scenario for the Democrats.
Democrats are expected to lose WV- Capito-R is strongly favored win over Generic-D and SD- Rounds-R is favored to win over Herseth-D or Brendan Johnson-D.
Democrats have a 50-50 chance of holding onto AR- Pryor-D is in a tossup race Cotton-R or Womack-R.
Democrats are going to hold onto
AK- Begich-D defeats Treadwell-R,IA-Braley-D defeats Generic-R,LA- Landrieu-D defeats Cassidy-R,MI-Peters-D defeats Generic-R,and MT-Schweitzer-D-assuming he runs-defeats Generic-R. plus they hold onto CO-Udall-D,HI-Schatz-D or Hanabusa-D,MA-Markey-D-assuming he wins the June 2013 Special election,MN-Franken-D,NH-Shaheen-D,and NJ-Booker-D.
Democrats are going to pick up.
GA- Barrow-D defeats either of the crazy Republica US House Members- Broun-R,Gingrey-R or Kingston-R.
KY- McConnell-R narrowly loses to Grimes-D.
MS-Cochran-R retires and Gene Taylor-D defeats Generic-R in the General Election.

Version: 11

Solid Democratic
1)DE(Coons-D)35
2)HI(Schatz-D or Hanabusa-D)36
3)IL(Durbin-D)37
4)NJ(Booker-D)38
5)NM(Udall-D)39
6)OR(Merkley-D)40
7)RI(Reed-D)41
8)VA(Warner-D)42
Likely Democratic
9)CO(Udall-D)43D
10)IA(Braley-D)44D
11)MN(Franken-D)45D
12)NH(Shaheen-D)46D
Lean Democratic
13)AK(Begich-D)47D
14)LA(Landrieu-D)48D
15)MA(Markey-D)49D
16)MI(Peters-D)50D
17)MT(Schweitzer-D)51D
18)NC(Hagan-D)52D
Solid Republican
1)AL(Sessions-R)32R
2)ID(Risch-R)33R
3)KS(Roberts-R)34R
4)NE(Heineman-R)35R
5)OK(Inhofe-R)36R
6)SC(Graham-R)37R
7)SC(Scott-R)38R
8)TN(Alexander-R)39R
9)TX(Cornyn-R)40R
10)WY(Enzi-R)41R
Likely Republican
11)ME(Collins-R)42R
12)MS(Cochran-R or Harper-R)43R
13)WV(Capito-R)44R
Lean Republican
14)AR(Cotton-R)45R
15)GA(Kingston-R)46R
16)KY(McConnell-R)47R
17)SD(Rounds-R)48R

Version: 10

Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2014 strongly favored to win re-election.
CO(Udall-D)35D
DE(Coons-D)36D
IL(Durbin-D)37D
MA(Markey-D)38D
MN(Franken-D)39D
NH(Shaheen-D)40D
NM(Udall-D)41D
NC(Hagan-D)42D
OR(Merkley-D)43D
RI(Reed-D)44D
VA(Warner-D)45D
Republican US Senators up for re-election in 2014 strongly favored to win re-election.
AL(Sessions-R)32R
ID(Risch-R)33R
KS(Roberts-R)34R
ME(Collins-R)35R
OK(Inhofe-R)36R
SC(Graham-R)37R
SC(Scott-R)38R
TN(Alexander-R)39R
TX(Cornyn-R)40R
WY(Enzi-R)41R

Version: 9

Republican Takeover
WV- Capito-R
SD- Rounds-R
AR- Cotton-R
Democratic Takeover
GA- Barrow-D
Republican Retention
KY- McConnell-R
MS-Harper-R
NE-Heineman-R
Democratic Retention
AK- Begich-D
HI-Hanabusa-D
IA- Braley-D
LA- Landrieu-D
MA-Markey-D
MI- Peters-D
MT- Schweitzer-D
NJ- Booker-D
NC-Hagan-D

Version: 8

Republican Takeover
WV- Capito-R
Democratic Takeover
GA- Barrow-D
KY- Grimes-D
Democratic Retention
AK- Begich-D
AR- Pryor-D
CO- Udall-D
DE- Coons-D
HI- Hanabusa-D
IL- Durbin-D
IA- Braley-D
LA- Landrieu-D
MA-Markey-D
MI- Peters-D
MN- Franken-D
MT- Schweitzer-D
NH-Shaheen-D
NJ-Booker-D
NM- Udall-D
NC- Hagan-D
OR-Merkley-D
RI- Reed-D
SD- Herseth-D
VA- Warner-D
Republican Retention
AL- Sessions-R
ID- Risch-R
KS- Roberts-R
ME-Collins-R
MS-Harper-R
NE- Heineman-R
OK-Inhofe-R
SC-Graham-R
SC-Scott-R
TN-Alexander-R
TX-Cornyn-R
WY-Enzi-R

Version: 5

Democrats are favored to win by a double digit margin
RI- Reed-D 40
DE- Coons-D 35
IL- Durbin-D 30
HI- Schatz-D 25
MA-Markey-D 24
NJ-Booker-D 23
OR- Merkley-D 22
NM- Udall-D 21
VA-Warner-D 20
MN- Franken-D 15
NH- Shaheen-D 14
IA- Braley-D 13
CO-Udall-D 12
MT-Baucus-D 11
AK-Begich-D 10
Democrats win by a high single digit margin
MI- Peters-D 8
NC- Hagan-D 7
LA- Landrieu-D 6
Statistical Tie
GA- Barrow-D vs Gingrey-R
Republicans win by a high single digit margin
AR- Cotton-R 6
KY- McConnell-R 7
SD- Rounds-R 8
Republicans win by a double digit margin.
WV- Capito-R 10
SC- Scott-R 12
TX- Cornyn-R 14
SC- Graham-R 16
ME-Collins-R 18
MS- Cochran-R 20
OK-Inhofe-R 22
AL- Sessions-R 24
TN- Alexander-R 26
NE- Heineman-R 28
KS- Roberts-R 30
ID- Risch-R 35
WY- Enzi-R 40

Version: 4

The battleground US Senate Races for 2014 are in
AK- Begich-D vs Treadwell-R
AR- Pryor-D vs Cotton-R
GA- Gingrey-R vs Barrow-D
IA- Braley-D vs King-R
KY- McConnell-R vs Grimes-D
LA- Landrieu-D vs Cassidy-R
MI- Peters-D vs Amash-R
MT- Baucus-D vs Stapleton-R
NC- Hagan-D vs Berry-R
SD- Herseth-D vs Rounds-R
Democrats are favored to win CO,DE,HI,IL,MA,MN,NH,NJ,NM,OR,RI,and VA=46D
Republicans are favored to win
AL,ID,KS,ME,MS,NE,OK,SC,SC,TN,TX,WV,and WY=44R

Version: 3

Solid Democratic
DE(Coons-D)
HI(Schatz-D)
IL(Durbin-D)
MA(Markey-D)
NJ(Booker-D)
NM(Udall-D)
OR(Merkley-D)
RI(Reed-D)
VA(Warner-D)
Likely Democratic
CO(Udall-D)
MN(Franken-D)
MT(Baucus-D)
NH(Shaheen-D)
Lean Democratic
AK(Begich-D)
IA(Braley-D)
MI(Peters-D)
NC(Hagan-D)
Tossup
GA(Barrow-D)
KY(Grimes-D)
LA(Landrieu-D)
Lean Republican
AR(Cotton-R)
SD(Rounds-R)
WV(Capito-R)
Likely Republican
ME(Collins-R)
NE(Heineman-R)
Solid Republican
AL(Sessions-R)
ID(Risch-R)
KS(Roberts-R)
MS(Cochran-R)
OK(Inhofe-R)
SC(Graham-R)
SC(Scott-R)
TN(Alexander-R)
TX(Cornyn-R)
WY(Enzi-R)

Version: 2

Based on how things stand right now- Democrats are likely to have a net loss of 2 to 4 seats.
OPEN Democratic Held Seats in WV and SD are going Republican. Senator Elect Capito(R-WV) and Rounds(R-SD). SD becomes competitive if Herseth-D runs.
Democrats will hold onto open Democratic held seats in NJ- Booker-D and IA- Braley-D (Thanks to King-R being the Republicsn nominee). Democrats will likely hold onto MI-Peters-D or Dingell-D.
The vulnerable Democratic incumbents are Begich-AK,Pryor-AR,Landrieu-LA,Franken-MN,Baucus-MT,and Hagan-NC. Begich-AK,Franken-MN,Baucus-MT,and Hagan-NC are likely to win re-election.
Landrieu-LA will be forced in the December runoff- recieving less than 50 percent of the popular vote. The December Runoff becomes a Tossup.
Pryor-AR loses to Cotton-R.
Republicans will hold onto Open seats in NE and GA. A Barrow-D candidacy moves GA into the Tossup category.
Turtleman-KY keeps his seat but he wins by a margin between 5 to 7.5 percent.

Version: 1

Democrats lose open seats in WV-Capito-R and SD-Rounds-R.
Democratic held open seats in IA,MI,and NJ remain in the Democratic collumn.
IA- Braley-D, MI-Peters-D, and NJ- Booker-D
Vulnerable Democratic incumbents in AK,AR,LA,MT,and NC win re-election.

Version History

97: 2014-10-19 @ 14:46:09 96: 2014-10-18 @ 08:41:05 95: 2014-09-16 @ 09:59:02 94: 2014-07-14 @ 19:42:31 93: 2014-06-13 @ 15:37:02 92: 2014-06-09 @ 18:45:23 91: 2014-06-07 @ 09:54:06 90: 2014-05-21 @ 06:51:41 89: 2014-05-18 @ 10:54:05 88: 2014-05-17 @ 09:03:15 87: 2014-05-12 @ 09:45:31 86: 2014-05-10 @ 13:22:40 85: 2014-05-08 @ 19:31:16 84: 2014-05-07 @ 20:10:54 83: 2014-05-06 @ 22:03:19 82: 2014-05-05 @ 22:03:40 81: 2014-05-03 @ 01:38:10 80: 2014-05-02 @ 09:46:32 79: 2014-05-01 @ 00:42:00 78: 2014-04-30 @ 06:34:37 77: 2014-04-29 @ 00:36:03 76: 2014-04-28 @ 17:37:45 75: 2014-04-27 @ 07:22:27 74: 2014-04-26 @ 22:57:23 73: 2014-04-25 @ 23:09:38 72: 2014-04-24 @ 00:56:12 71: 2014-04-23 @ 23:21:26 70: 2014-04-22 @ 19:31:59 69: 2014-04-10 @ 12:07:42 68: 2014-04-08 @ 18:57:24 67: 2014-04-06 @ 00:42:46 66: 2014-04-02 @ 09:43:46 65: 2014-03-31 @ 10:18:24 64: 2014-03-29 @ 06:44:48 63: 2014-03-27 @ 22:17:18 62: 2014-03-25 @ 00:03:05 61: 2014-03-19 @ 23:37:22 60: 2014-03-17 @ 09:48:13 59: 2014-03-12 @ 15:00:30 58: 2014-03-10 @ 23:42:09 57: 2014-03-04 @ 18:29:03 56: 2014-02-23 @ 08:47:07 55: 2014-02-14 @ 12:57:08 54: 2014-02-13 @ 01:01:03 53: 2014-02-05 @ 06:39:09 52: 2014-01-27 @ 19:51:10 51: 2014-01-07 @ 22:05:24 50: 2013-12-30 @ 08:42:47 49: 2013-12-04 @ 00:15:17 48: 2013-11-19 @ 11:44:47 47: 2013-11-14 @ 10:37:36 46: 2013-11-09 @ 12:12:15 45: 2013-10-30 @ 19:01:07 44: 2013-10-26 @ 12:46:30 43: 2013-10-24 @ 11:59:29 42: 2013-10-23 @ 18:17:54 41: 2013-10-22 @ 19:59:08 40: 2013-10-21 @ 09:25:16 39: 2013-10-20 @ 19:14:48 38: 2013-10-12 @ 09:05:36 37: 2013-10-08 @ 21:31:24 36: 2013-10-07 @ 23:30:02 35: 2013-10-06 @ 10:16:20 34: 2013-10-03 @ 10:03:47 33: 2013-09-30 @ 18:04:48 32: 2013-09-29 @ 22:44:32 31: 2013-09-10 @ 23:55:24 30: 2013-09-05 @ 01:01:28 29: 2013-08-17 @ 07:51:48 28: 2013-08-11 @ 10:45:17 27: 2013-08-06 @ 21:05:40 26: 2013-08-05 @ 23:49:58 25: 2013-07-31 @ 23:11:37 24: 2013-07-30 @ 03:28:49 23: 2013-07-28 @ 07:08:55 22: 2013-07-26 @ 19:39:25 21: 2013-07-25 @ 18:28:38 20: 2013-07-24 @ 21:10:28 19: 2013-07-20 @ 02:41:08 18: 2013-07-16 @ 02:20:12 17: 2013-07-14 @ 02:23:17 16: 2013-05-18 @ 12:43:53 15: 2013-05-12 @ 15:25:37 14: 2013-05-11 @ 15:04:24 13: 2013-05-08 @ 17:56:41 12: 2013-05-05 @ 14:03:58 11: 2013-05-04 @ 14:30:47 10: 2013-04-27 @ 12:06:17 9: 2013-04-24 @ 19:59:32 8: 2013-04-23 @ 19:56:08 7: 2013-04-20 @ 11:43:21 6: 2013-04-19 @ 10:33:18 5: 2013-04-15 @ 09:20:27 4: 2013-04-14 @ 10:26:37 3: 2013-04-13 @ 14:16:01 2: 2013-04-12 @ 04:25:04 1: 2013-03-20 @ 19:39:04 View Version

Member Comments

By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2014-10-18 @ 09:47:09
Republicans lose GA and KS, hold onto KY, and gain MT,WV,SD,AK,AR,CO,and IA- 50 seats. They win the GA and LA runoffs in December- 52 seats Orman-KS decides to caucus with the Republicans- 53 seats. If Brown-NH and Tillis-NC win- 55 seats in a strong GOP wave. <br /> 2016- Democrats lose NV- Reid-D loses to Sandoval-R and CO- Bennett-D loses to Tipton-R- 43D <br /> Democrats will need to pick up 7 seats to regain control of the U.S. Senate assuming Hillary wins in November. Democrats win WI- Feingold-D vs Johnson-R rematch, PA- Kane-D defeats Sestak-D in primary then Toomey-R in the general, IL- Kirk-R loses to either Madigan-D,Hynes-D or Vallas-D, AZ- Giffords/Kelly defeat McCain or the R that defeats McCain in the primary, KY- Paul-R has to retire to run for President. Grimes-D,Conway-D or Edelen-D defeat the likely GOP nominee, FL- Graham,Sink,and Wasserman Schultz, defeats Rubio, and GA- Isakson-R retires or loses in the GOP primary- Nunn-D or Carter-D defeats the likely GOP nominee.

---

By: wingindy (I-IN) 2014-10-18 @ 14:15:01
Problem- GA runoff is not until January 6, after the Senate organizes. Orman would caucus with the GOP in this scenario, at least initially.

---

By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2014-10-18 @ 23:15:56
Republicans are likely to regain control of the U.S. Senate in 2014- They hold onto GA,KS,and KY, and pick up MT,WV,SD,AK,AR,and LA. IA and CO are Republican pickups during a strong GOP wave. Democrats will end up with 47 seats. In 2016, Democrats need to hold onto CO and NV and pick up WI,PA,and IL plus AZ and FL

---