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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-21 Version:51

Prediction Map
Liberalrocks MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Liberalrocks MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Tos11
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1-4-3-712214-6
Rep+4+3+7-1-1-211213+5
Ind+10+1000000+1


Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic153247
Republican203050
Independent123
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2014-10-22 @ 00:51:41 prediction Map
No, I'm afraid your right on! Interestingly, WashPost has Georgia as its only lean - all other states are rated "strong!"<br /> <br /> http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/10/21/is-the-election-lab-forecast-too-confident-in-a-gop-senate-majority/

 By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2014-10-22 @ 17:30:32 prediction Map
Im afraid I may be drowning my sorrows in a very strong cocktail or 5 this election night. I am not looking forward to it if these polls are right.

 By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2014-10-22 @ 18:18:58 prediction Map
Oh great within a few hours of each other we put out the same map - yuck!<br /> <br /> I plan on praying a lot in the next two years....<br /> <br /> ANyway the universe is moving in strange ways!

 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2014-10-23 @ 00:36:30 prediction Map
Georgia, the second closest race in the country, and why haven't I called it? I don't think Nunn can survive a runoff. :( http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/

 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2014-10-23 @ 00:38:46 prediction Map
After the executive action on immigration is announced, with the Senate on the line, on January frickin 6, she's toast.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 30/33 18/33 48/66 72.7% pie 5 0 285T
P 2018 Governor 33/36 25/36 58/72 80.6% pie 3 2 56T
P 2016 President 48/56 29/56 77/112 68.8% pie 14 0 369T
P 2016 Senate 30/34 17/34 47/68 69.1% pie 7 0 213T
P 2016 Governor 9/12 6/12 15/24 62.5% pie 5 0 47T
P 2014 Senate 33/36 24/36 57/72 79.2% pie 60 0 82T
P 2014 Governor 29/36 17/36 46/72 63.9% pie 53 0 123T
P 2012 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 97 1 77T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 48 0 40T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 12 0 24T
P 2012 Rep Primary 44/52 26/52 70/104 67.3% pie 67 - 5T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 71 1 63T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 21/37 56/74 75.7% pie 44 5 106T
P 2008 President 51/56 42/56 93/112 83.0% pie 53 1 139T
P 2008 Senate 31/33 15/33 46/66 69.7% pie 4 24 227T
P 2008 Governor 8/11 5/11 13/22 59.1% pie 2 17 232T
P 2008 Dem Primary 49/52 18/52 67/104 64.4% pie 24 - 23T
P 2008 Rep Primary 33/49 16/49 49/98 50.0% pie 7 - 55T
Aggregate Predictions 595/670 379/670 974/1340 72.7% pie



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