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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-01 Version:4
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 72)
Analysis
No Analysis Entered
Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 2 The partisan advantage in these midterms does not appear especially consistent, nor is it necessarily anti-incumbent. Indeed, I believe there are strong chances for the Democrats to hold Alaska, Louisiana, North Carolina and even Arkansas remains a remote possibility, though looks to be gone by this point. Independents in South Dakota and Kansas will, I believe, caucus with Democrats if elected putting the Democrats in a stronger position that I would have expected at the beginning of the year.
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