Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-04 Version:2

Prediction Map

filliatre Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

filliatre Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	21
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-4	-7	13	1	14	-7
Rep	+3	+4	+7	-1	0	-1	11	3	14	+6
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	32	46
Republican	21	30	51
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	33	21

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	51/56	25/56	76/112	67.9%		22	0	409	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	17/34	47/68	69.1%		7	6	213	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	6/12	16/24	66.7%		4	6	25	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		2	36	72	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	21/36	54/72	75.0%		2	0	138	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	18/36	48/72	66.7%		2	0	73	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%		2	69	98	T	153
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		26	4	77	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	15/33	47/66	71.2%		11	3	164	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	4/11	14/22	63.6%		9	4	157	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	46/52	24/52	70/104	67.3%		49	-	5	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		1	277	37	T	106
2010 Senate	33/37	17/37	50/74	67.6%		13	0	221	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	16/37	50/74	67.6%		10	0	168	T	312
2009 Governor	0/2	0/2	0/4	0.0%		2	15	101	T	103
2008 President	53/56	41/56	94/112	83.9%		44	1	115	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	15/33	47/66	71.2%		13	6	204	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		7	6	152	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	19/52	11/52	30/104	28.8%		5	-	150	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	18/49	7/49	25/98	25.5%		3	-	141	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	503/612	291/612	794/1224	64.9%

User Info

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