Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2013-08-19 Version:1

Prediction Map

gporter Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

gporter Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	18
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	15
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-4	-1	-5	12	4	16	-4
Rep	+4	+1	+5	-1	0	-1	11	2	13	+4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	17	32	49
Republican	18	30	48
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
42	28	14

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	28/36	14/36	42/72	58.3%		1	442	308	T	382
2014 Governor	28/36	13/36	41/72	56.9%		1	442	224	T	300
2012 President	50/56	34/56	84/112	75.0%		1	469	630	T	760
2010 Senate	28/37	13/37	41/74	55.4%		5	172	375	T	456
2008 President	47/56	27/56	74/112	66.1%		70	128	734	T	1,505
2008 Senate	29/33	13/33	42/66	63.6%		3	108	316	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	9/52	0/52	9/104	8.7%		1	-	235	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	28/49	4/49	32/98	32.7%		3	-	118	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		3	91	1	T	167
2006 Governor	19/36	6/36	25/72	34.7%		1	25	310		312
Aggregate Predictions	269/394	127/394	396/788	50.3%

Links

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