PredictionsEndorse2014 Senatorial Predictions - tomjay122 (R-FL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2013-03-21 Version:1

Prediction Map
tomjay122 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
tomjay122 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep22
 
Ind0
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep18
 
Ind0
 
Tos6
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-5-3-811213-8
Rep+5+3+800012214+8
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic133245
Republican223052
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
412813
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments
 By: SawxDem (I-NH) 2013-03-21 @ 03:01:22 prediction Map
This is really confusing. I honestly don't see any scenario where Dems lose Minnesota and Virginia (two relatively safe seats), yet hold on to Alaska or Arkansas. Warner is extremely popular, and MNGOP is trying hard to field a candidate.

As for the others, Steve King is Iowa's Bachmann, and there's already a credible IA Dem candidate. Gary Peters is all but in for the Senate (ESPECIALLY when Snyder will be headlining the ticket for the MIGOP), and not even McDonnell looks like he can beat Warner.

 By: MilesC56 (I-VA) 2013-03-21 @ 04:58:40 prediction Map
This guy is obviously trolling. 'No need really to, 'ya know, have an actually analytical discourse here.

It looks like he forgot to change the 2008 result presets for AR, MT, AK and a few others.

 By: SawxDem (I-NH) 2013-03-22 @ 00:32:20 prediction Map
I don't see it, aside from Michigan his 2012 map seemed like your average plausible GOP takeover.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 48/56 32/56 80/112 71.4% pie 2 389 246T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 19/34 50/68 73.5% pie 2 389 89T362
P 2016 Governor 7/12 4/12 11/24 45.8% pie 1 389 223T279
P 2014 Senate 28/36 13/36 41/72 56.9% pie 1 593 322T382
P 2012 President 48/56 34/56 82/112 73.2% pie 1 380 654T760
Aggregate Predictions 162/194 102/194 264/388 68.0% pie



Alabama2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Alaska2 Arkansas2 Colorado2 Delaware2 Georgia2 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho2 Illinois2 Iowa2 Kansas2 Kentucky2 Louisiana2 Maine2 Massachusetts2 Michigan2 Michigan2 Minnesota2 Mississippi2 Montana2 Nebraska2 New Hampshire2 New Jersey2 New Mexico2 North Carolina2 Oklahoma2 Oklahoma3 Oregon2 Rhode Island2 South Carolina2 South Carolina3 South Dakota2 Tennessee2 Texas2 Virginia2 Virginia2 West Virginia2 Wyoming2

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