Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:4

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	18
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-1	-3	-4	15	2	17	-4
Rep	+1	+3	+4	0	-1	-1	12	2	14	+3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	17	32	49
Republican	18	30	48
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages

Analysis

In RCP, there are 8 toss ups. In 2012, there were 7 toss ups and democrats won 6 of them. In 2010, there were 7 toss ups and democrats won 5 of them. So, on the 8 toss ups, Ii think republicans should win 2 of them: Kansas and Georgia, and democrats the rest: Colorado, Iowa,.. My map is obviously optimistic for the democrats.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%	1	466	164	T	279
2014 Senate
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	2	14	17	T	153
Aggregate Predictions	9/14	6/14	15/28	53.6%

User Info

	windjammer Forum Profile
	windjammer Senatorial Endorsements

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Senatorial Predictions Home

Back to 2014 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home