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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-02 Version:8
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 72)
Analysis
Well, that's it. For my final prediction, switched Kansas back to Orman and traded a couple of Tossups and Lean Rs around. Final result, after the LA runoff in December, will be 52 R, 47 D, and 1 I. Orman will likely go R for a 53-47 majority -- similar to how Lieberman caucused with the Democrats after Republicans put him over the top in CT-2006 (and did far more damage to the Ds from within the caucus than he could ever have done with the GOP, but I digress). Possible results range from 50/50, Biden breaking the tie as the best-case scenario for Democrats, to 56/44, or a gain of R+11, as the worst-case scenario.<br /> <br /> Looking forward to Election Night.
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