Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	24
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-4	-9	11	1	12	-9
Rep	+5	+4	+9	0	0	0	12	3	15	+9
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	12	32	44
Republican	24	30	54
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
62	36	26

Analysis

Changed Iowa to a GOP gain, from DEM hold...polls seem to show the Republican with the momentum. Other than that, all other seats stay the same as before.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: dmurphy1984 (R-NY) 2014-11-05 @ 05:41:19
BAM!...well, not perfect, but pretty damn close! :D

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%	1	1	147	T	305
2020 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%	2	10	179	T	684
2018 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%	1	12	24	T	483
2016 President	53/56	38/56	91/112	81.3%	1	1	8	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	18/34	49/68	72.1%	1	1	120	T	362
2014 Senate	36/36	26/36	62/72	86.1%	2	1	4	T	382
2012 President	50/56	39/56	89/112	79.5%	1	5	508	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%	1	0	144	T	343
2010 Senate	33/37	27/37	60/74	81.1%	4	0	54	T	456
2008 President	49/56	32/56	81/112	72.3%	3	7	474	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	21/33	52/66	78.8%	5	6	113	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	17/36	52/72	72.2%	1	176	107	T	312
2004 President	55/56	37/56	92/112	82.1%	15	11	126	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	520/559	364/559	884/1118	79.1%

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