Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:3

Prediction Map

Aguagon Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Aguagon Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	21
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-4	-7	13	1	14	-7
Rep	+3	+4	+7	-1	0	-1	11	3	14	+6
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	32	46
Republican	21	30	51
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
60	33	27

Analysis

51/48 turning into 52/48 after the Louisiana runoff, and counting Orman as a Democrat. I hold out some hope that I'm wrong about Colorado and Iowa.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						249
2023 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		2	2	49	T	115
2022 Senate	32/35	27/35	59/70	84.3%		4	1	69	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	30/36	64/72	88.9%		4	1	5	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		3	6	28	T	118
2020 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%		6	6	179	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	22/35	54/70	77.1%		3	4	101	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		1	6	10	T	293
2018 Senate	33/35	26/35	59/70	84.3%		3	1	4	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	29/36	62/72	86.1%		1	3	2	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	2	1	T	149
2016 President	50/56	35/56	85/112	75.9%		3	0	66	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	22/34	53/68	77.9%		1	0	16	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	4/12	14/24	58.3%		1	0	67	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	24	72	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%		3	1	21	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	17/36	48/72	66.7%		3	1	73	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	64	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%		7	1	47	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%		7	1	11	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		4	1	89	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	37/52	16/52	53/104	51.0%		23	-	64	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%		8	0	34	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	28/37	63/74	85.1%		4	0	11	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		5	21	1	T	103
2008 President	54/56	47/56	101/112	90.2%		13	1	6	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%		8	1	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		3	1	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	39/52	22/52	61/104	58.7%		20	-	38	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	38/49	21/49	59/98	60.2%		17	-	14		235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	169	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	27/33	58/66	87.9%		7	2	10	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		8	1	44	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	841/931	620/931	1461/1862	78.5%

User Info

Aguagon Forum Profile

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Senatorial Predictions Home

Back to 2014 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home

Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved