PredictionsEndorse2016 Senatorial Predictions - nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-07-13 Version:209

Prediction Map
nkpolitics1279 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
nkpolitics1279 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Tos7
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+7+2+90007310+9
Rep000-7-2-915015-9
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193453
Republican153045
Independent022
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2016-07-13 @ 06:44:28 prediction Map
Republicans are favored to win by a landslide margin.<br /> 31)AL-Shelby-R<br /> 32)AK-Murkowski-R<br /> 33)AR-Boozman-R<br /> 34)ID-Crapo-R<br /> 35)KS-Moran-R<br /> 36)KY-Paul-R<br /> 37)LA-Kennedy-R <br /> 38)ND-Hoeven-R<br /> 39)OK-Lankford-R<br /> 40)SC-Scott-R<br /> 41)SD-Thune-R<br /> 42)UT-Lee-R<br /> Democrats are favored to win by a landslide margin.<br /> 37)CA-Harris-D<br /> 38)CT-Blumenthal-D<br /> 39)HI-Schatz-D<br /> 40)MD-Van Hollen-D<br /> 41)NY-Schumer-D<br /> 42)OR-Wyden-D<br /> 43)VT-Leahy-D<br /> 44)WA-Murray-D<br /> Republicans are favored to win by a low double digit margin.<br /> 43)GA-Isakson-R<br /> 44)IA-Grassley-R<br /> Democrats are favored to win by a low double digit margin.<br /> 45)CO-Bennet-D<br /> 46)IL-Duckworth-D<br /> Republicans are favored to win by a high single digit margin.<br /> 45)AZ-McCain-R<br /> 46)MO-Blunt-R<br /> Democrats are favored to win by a high single digit margin.<br /> 47)IN-Bayh-D<br /> 48)WI-Feingold-D<br /> Republicans are favored to win by a narrow margin.<br /> 47)FL-Rubio-R<br /> 48)NC-Burr-R<br /> 49)PA-Toomey-R<br /> Democrats are favored to win by a narrow margin.<br /> 49)NV-Cortez Masto-D<br /> 50)NH-Hassan-D<br /> 51)OH-Strickland-D<br /> Democrats win FL-Murphy-D,NC-Ross-D,and PA-McGinty-D if there is a Clinton Democratic wave.<br /> Possible upsets<br /> AZ-Kirkpatrick-D<br /> IA-Judge-D<br /> MO-Kander-D<br /> <br />

 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2016-07-13 @ 19:31:49 prediction Map
Democrats are favored to hold onto<br /> 37)CA-Harris-D<br /> 38)HI-Schatz-D<br /> 39)NY-Schumer-D<br /> 40)VT-Leahy-D<br /> 41)CT-Blumenthal-D<br /> 42)MD-Van Hollen-D<br /> 43)OR-Wyden-D<br /> 44)WA-Murray-D<br /> 45)CO-Bennet-D<br /> pick up<br /> 46)IL-Duckworth-D<br /> 47)WI-Feingold-D<br /> 48)IN-Bayh-D<br /> Democrats need to win<br /> 49)NV-Cortez Masto-D<br /> 50)NH-Hassan-D<br /> Clinton POTUS Victory =Democratic US Senate majority.<br /> To avoid losing majority control of the US Senate in 2018, Democrats need to win<br /> 51)OH-Strickland-D/WV-Manchin-D<br /> 52)PA-McGinty-D/IN-Donnelly-D<br /> 53)FL-Murphy-D/MO-McCaskill-D<br /> 54)NC-Ross-D/ND-Heitkamp-D<br /> 55)AZ-Kirkpatrick-D/MT-Tester-D<br /> 56)MO-Kander-D/OH-Brown-D<br /> 57)IA-Judge-D/FL-Nelson-D<br /> In 2018 Democrats need to hold onto <br /> VA-Kaine-D replacement.<br /> WI-Baldwin-D or<br /> pick up<br /> AZ and NV.<br />

 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2016-07-13 @ 19:49:23 prediction Map
If Chuck Schumer(D-NY) decides to retire in 2022 or 2028, likely successor is <br /> 1)Grace Meng (D-NY)


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 52/56 38/56 90/112 80.4% pie 20 4 10T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 221 4 164T362
P 2014 Senate 34/36 25/36 59/72 81.9% pie 97 16 42T382
P 2014 Governor 28/36 16/36 44/72 61.1% pie 1 325 171T300
P 2012 President 52/56 43/56 95/112 84.8% pie 111 1 314T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 21/33 52/66 78.8% pie 27 38 74T343
Aggregate Predictions 227/251 161/251 388/502 77.3% pie



Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

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