2 big changes- slight lean to Bayh as the new nominee in Indiana, and Rubio has a slight lead in Florida plus Nevada moves to GOP very slightly....end result is 50-50.<br /> <br /> But Trump and Clinton are popular vote neck and neck for now-wait for Dem bounce. Check my new presidential site which I will now do.

This will be a close election to say the least...ticket splitting will be big.<br /> <br /> a gain from 3-6 seats for Dems is possible.

Well my next to last entry, I must say things are very fluid and this could easily happen. Some states are moving back towards GOP while others are moving in other direction, will the tides shift again-you betcha as they say here. and probably reverse more than once between now and election day.

Mostly changes in % though that switched Pennsylvania for me. Real early though...chance the several switch back and forth.<br /> <br /> Chance that some other GOP seat become possible like Missouri ...

2 big changes- slight lean to Bayh as the new nominee in Indiana, and Rubio has a slight lead in Florida plus Nevada moves to GOP very slightly....end result is 50-50.<br /> <br /> But Trump and Clinton are popular vote neck and neck for now-wait for Dem bounce. Check my new presidential site which I will now do.

Rubio wins primary and retain seat narrowly while Trump loses Florida. Ohio key to victory of taking senate for Dems as is NH. Very narrow victories.<br /> <br />

Mostly changes in my confidence rating except for Colorado where the Dems seem to be regrouping. And NH where the candidates are about even.<br /> <br /> Anyway outcome Dems fall short one seat. That is why Penn and NH will be even more important. I do not think voters want either Dem and another reason I think the state might fall to GOP on presidential level.

A mixed bag in my mind, several seats change hands and party. And more could...watch Arkansas, NH, Pennsyl. among others and the race in Colorado and Nevada might be different depending on nominees.<br /> <br />