Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:2

Prediction Map

jas Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

jas Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	0	0	0	7	3	10	+4
Rep	0	0	0	-4	0	-4	18	2	20	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	34	48
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
53	32	21

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	32/56	82/112	73.2%		3	0	149	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	21/34	53/68	77.9%		2	1	16	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	6/12	16/24	66.7%		2	1	25	T	279
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	0	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		3	1	77	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	21/33	53/66	80.3%		2	1	56	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		1	3	51	T	228
2010 Senate	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%		3	0	34	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%		3	0	17	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	1	1	T	103
2008 President	53/56	45/56	98/112	87.5%		8	0	41	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%		4	1	14	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%		3	1	9	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	43/52	25/52	68/104	65.4%		16	-	20	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	36/49	20/49	56/98	57.1%		14	-	21	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	80	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	23/33	56/66	84.8%		7	3	31	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	29/36	64/72	88.9%		7	3	6	T	312
2004 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%		19	1	49	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	560/609	411/609	971/1218	79.7%

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