Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:1

Prediction Map

Impy Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Impy Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	24
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	-1	-1	7	2	9	0
Rep	0	+1	+1	-1	0	-1	21	2	23	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	10	34	44
Republican	24	30	54
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
53	32	21

Analysis

Harris over Sanchez in CA, over 60%<br /> <br /> Kennedy (R), Campbell (D) runoff in LA, Kennedy wins over 60%

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	30/35	23/35	53/70	75.7%		1	1	224	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	22/36	53/72	73.6%		1	1	202	T	272
2020 President	50/56	45/56	95/112	84.8%		1	9	179	T	684
2018 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%		1	1	42	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	22/36	55/72	76.4%		1	3	122	T	372
2016 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%		2	0	114	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	21/34	53/68	77.9%		1	1	16	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	6/12	16/24	66.7%		1	0	25	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		1	261	57	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	22/36	57/72	79.2%		2	2	82	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	22/36	54/72	75.0%		1	2	4	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%		1	199	138	T	153
2012 President	46/56	32/56	78/112	69.6%		1	1	693	T	760
2012 Senate	24/33	11/33	35/66	53.0%		1	1	307	T	343
2012 Governor	8/11	4/11	12/22	54.5%		1	1	196	T	228
2008 President	51/56	40/56	91/112	81.3%		4	0	200	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	21/33	53/66	80.3%		3	2	57	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%		4	2	183	T	264
2006 Governor	29/36	18/36	47/72	65.3%		4	131	175	T	312
2004 President	53/56	41/56	94/112	83.9%		10	7	66	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	590/669	414/669	1004/1338	75.0%

User Info

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