PredictionsEndorse2016 Senatorial Predictions - Ernest (D-SC) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-08-27 Version:1

Prediction Map
Ernest MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Ernest MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep18
 
Ind0
 
Tos4
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+4+1+50-1-1729+4
Rep0+1+1-4-1-518119-4
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic143448
Republican203050
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
493019
piepiepie

Analysis

Initial prediction. Looks like the Democrats will just take the Senate back.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2018 Senate 29/35 17/35 46/70 65.7% pie 1 356 362T483
P 2016 President 50/56 28/56 78/112 69.6% pie 14 10 325T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 19/34 49/68 72.1% pie 1 73 120T362
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 19 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 40/56 95/112 84.8% pie 48 1 314T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 26/33 58/66 87.9% pie 22 0 2T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 1 89T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 36/52 13/52 49/104 47.1% pie 18 - 75T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 2 3 21T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 29/37 62/74 83.8% pie 1 3 17T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 137 92T103
P 2008 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 79 1 100T1,505
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 28/33 61/66 92.4% pie 17 2 2465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 29/36 64/72 88.9% pie 16 2 6T312
P 2004 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 47 1 66T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 486/536 347/536 833/1072 77.7% pie



Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

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