Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-01-29 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	9
Rep	15
Ind	0
Tos	10
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+1	+5	-1	0	-1	6	3	9	+4
Rep	+1	0	+1	-4	-1	-5	18	1	19	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	34	48
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
46	30	16

Analysis

A 50/50 Senate is coming, with Dems in control if Clinton can beat Trump (she will beat any other GOP nominee). I also see the Dems picking up 4-6 seats in the House.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	51/56	31/56	82/112	73.2%	2	285	149	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	16/34	46/68	67.6%	2	284	252	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	4/12	13/24	54.2%	2	284	119	T	279
Aggregate Predictions	90/102	51/102	141/204	69.1%

Links

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