PredictionsEndorse2016 Senatorial Predictions - gumball machine (L-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2015-05-19 Version:1

Prediction Map
gumball machine MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
gumball machine MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind0
 
Non16
 

Confidence States Won
18 |
34 |
50 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep19
 
Ind0
 
Tos7
 
Non16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+20+2-1-1-26280
Rep+1+1+2-20-2202220
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic103444
Republican243054
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
523220
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2016 President 50/56 31/56 81/112 72.3% pie 3 460 194T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 20/34 52/68 76.5% pie 1 539 35T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 8/12 17/24 70.8% pie 1 487 14T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 273 8T112
P 2014 Senate 33/36 27/36 60/72 83.3% pie 30 0 21T382
P 2014 Governor 28/36 17/36 45/72 62.5% pie 22 0 145T300
P 2010 Senate 33/37 22/37 55/74 74.3% pie 87 1 133T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 23/37 58/74 78.4% pie 10 2 74T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 109 56T103
P 2008 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 28 1 139T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 12 8 117T407
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 3 110 86T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 9/52 6/52 15/104 14.4% pie 2 - 213T271
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 3 78 1T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 39 1 31T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 17/36 52/72 72.2% pie 17 9 107T312
Aggregate Predictions 397/477 266/477 663/954 69.5% pie



Alabama3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Alaska3 Arizona3 Arkansas3 California3 California3 California3 California3 Colorado3 Connecticut3 Connecticut3 Florida3 Georgia3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Hawaii3 Idaho3 Illinois3 Indiana3 Iowa3 Kansas3 Kentucky3 Louisiana3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Maryland3 Missouri3 Nevada3 New Hampshire3 New York3 New York3 North Carolina3 North Dakota3 Ohio3 Oklahoma3 Oregon3 Pennsylvania3 South Carolina3 South Dakota3 Utah3 Vermont3 Washington3 Washington3 Washington3 Wisconsin3 Wisconsin3

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