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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-02 Version:4
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 70)
Analysis
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Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 1 Too early. Trump's average approval is at 43.6%<br /> <br /> Republicans have an edge here. Due to many heavily red states being represented by Democrats.<br /> <br /> Virginia Could have been close, choosing a racist sympathizer, alt right candidate makes Kaine reelection easy. <br /> <br /> Arizona may swing back. But Sinema has been moderate. According to 538, she has voted in favor of Trump over half the time. If republicans choose Ward or Arpaio they should gift wrap the seat for democrats.<br /> <br /> Koch Bros are supporting moderates like Heitkamp, but it may only get them so far.
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