Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-04-20 Version:2

Prediction Map

Oldiesfreak1854 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Oldiesfreak1854 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	12
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	7
Ind	2
Tos	8
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-4	0	-4	19	0	19	-4
Rep	+4	0	+4	0	0	0	6	2	8	+4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	23	42
Republican	12	42	54
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
43	29	14

Analysis

Changed Florida in response to Scott running, and moved Tennessee from Strong R to Lean R.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	2	74	T	115
2022 Senate	31/35	23/35	54/70	77.1%		3	1	205	T	305
2022 Governor	30/36	21/36	51/72	70.8%		3	1	228	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	11	1	T	118
2020 President	50/56	32/56	82/112	73.2%		3	58	608	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	21/35	53/70	75.7%		2	66	137	T	423
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		1	4	104	T	192
2018 Senate	29/35	14/35	43/70	61.4%		2	200	417	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	15/36	45/72	62.5%		1	301	295	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	31	40	T	149
2016 President	42/56	12/56	54/112	48.2%		5	47	660	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	17/34	48/68	70.6%		4	63	164	T	362
2016 Governor	11/12	7/12	18/24	75.0%		1	63	3	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		4	7	8	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	27/36	62/72	86.1%		13	4	4	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	17/36	47/72	65.3%		12	4	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	234	17	T	153
2012 President	53/56	33/56	86/112	76.8%		8	5	591	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	17/33	48/66	72.7%		4	12	144	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		3	1	89	T	228
Aggregate Predictions	457/522	271/522	728/1044	69.7%

User Info

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