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Date of Prediction: 2018-06-29 Version:2

Prediction Map
leip MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
leip MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000000231240
Rep0000007290
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic242347
Republican94251
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Test


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate /33 /33 /66 % pie
P 2018 Governor /36 /36 /72 % pie
P 2017 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 116 138T
P 2016 President 49/56 29/56 78/112 69.6% pie 2 542 325T
P 2016 Senate 32/34 19/34 51/68 75.0% pie 1 543 60T
P 2016 Governor 8/12 3/12 11/24 45.8% pie 1 543 223T
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 273 72T
P 2014 Senate 27/36 11/36 38/72 52.8% pie 2 184 351T
P 2014 Governor 29/36 14/36 43/72 59.7% pie 1 599 192T
P 2013 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 235 138T
P 2012 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 3 473 314T
P 2012 Senate 29/33 10/33 39/66 59.1% pie 1 268 268T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 3/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 268 196T
P 2012 Rep Primary 26/52 7/52 33/104 31.7% pie 5 - 141T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 3 243 37T
P 2010 Senate 30/37 14/37 44/74 59.5% pie 4 98 321T
P 2010 Governor 20/37 10/37 30/74 40.5% pie 2 357 292T
P 2009 Governor 0/2 0/2 0/4 0.0% pie 1 138 101T
P 2008 President 46/56 24/56 70/112 62.5% pie 4 372 958T
P 2008 Senate 25/33 10/33 35/66 53.0% pie 1 362 386T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 362 183T
P 2008 Dem Primary 25/52 9/52 34/104 32.7% pie 4 - 134T
P 2008 Rep Primary 11/49 3/49 14/98 14.3% pie 1 - 191T
P 2007 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 3 8 155T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 26/33 8/33 34/66 51.5% pie 3 7 437T
P 2006 Governor 28/36 9/36 37/72 51.4% pie 6 199 279T
P 2004 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 15 15 359T
Aggregate Predictions 544/742 268/742 812/1484 54.7% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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