PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - leip (I-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-06-29 Version:2

Prediction Map
leip MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
leip MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000000231240
Rep0000007290
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic242347
Republican94251
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
462917
piepiepie

Analysis

Test


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 250
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 88
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 72
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 191
P 2018 Senate 29/35 17/35 46/70 65.7% pie 2 130 362T483
P 2018 Governor 26/36 13/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 353 351T372
P 2017 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 116 138T149
P 2016 President 49/56 29/56 78/112 69.6% pie 2 542 325T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 19/34 51/68 75.0% pie 1 543 60T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 3/12 11/24 45.8% pie 1 543 223T279
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 273 72T112
P 2014 Senate 27/36 11/36 38/72 52.8% pie 2 184 351T382
P 2014 Governor 29/36 14/36 43/72 59.7% pie 1 599 192T300
P 2013 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 235 138T153
P 2012 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 3 473 314T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 10/33 39/66 59.1% pie 1 268 268T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 3/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 268 196T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 26/52 7/52 33/104 31.7% pie 5 - 141T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 3 243 37T106
P 2010 Senate 30/37 14/37 44/74 59.5% pie 4 98 321T456
P 2010 Governor 20/37 10/37 30/74 40.5% pie 2 357 292T312
P 2009 Governor 0/2 0/2 0/4 0.0% pie 1 138 101T103
P 2008 President 46/56 24/56 70/112 62.5% pie 4 372 958T1,505
P 2008 Senate 25/33 10/33 35/66 53.0% pie 1 362 386T407
P 2008 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 362 183T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 25/52 9/52 34/104 32.7% pie 4 - 134T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 11/49 3/49 14/98 14.3% pie 1 - 191T235
P 2007 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 3 8 155T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 26/33 8/33 34/66 51.5% pie 3 7 437T465
P 2006 Governor 28/36 9/36 37/72 51.4% pie 6 199 279T312
P 2004 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 15 15 359T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 599/813 298/813 897/1626 55.2% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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