Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:4

Prediction Map

Lief Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Lief Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	25
Rep	8
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	-1	0	-1	23	0	23	+1
Rep	+1	0	+1	-1	-1	-2	5	2	7	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	25	23	48
Republican	8	42	50
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	32	22

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	31/35	27/35	58/70	82.9%		1	1	97	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%		1	1	88	T	272
2020 President	54/56	42/56	96/112	85.7%		12	6	130	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%		9	4	44	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		2	8	10	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	22/35	54/70	77.1%		4	1	106	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	28/36	60/72	83.3%		3	3	18	T	372
2016 President	48/56	35/56	83/112	74.1%		7	1	114	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	19/34	51/68	75.0%		3	1	60	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		2	1	67	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	25/36	60/72	83.3%		15	1	21	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	18/36	47/72	65.3%		15	1	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	0	17	T	153
2012 President	56/56	47/56	103/112	92.0%		22	1	26	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	24/33	55/66	83.3%		17	1	20	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	1	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	31/52	16/52	47/104	45.2%		39	-	83	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	29/37	63/74	85.1%		26	0	11	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%		23	0	45	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		2	10	56	T	103
2008 President	53/56	47/56	100/112	89.3%		42	1	13	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	24/33	57/66	86.4%		20	1	9	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		7	1	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	44/52	29/52	73/104	70.2%		25	-	5	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	38/49	18/49	56/98	57.1%		22	-	21	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	173	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%		3	2	46	T	465
Aggregate Predictions	794/885	579/885	1373/1770	77.6%

User Info

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	Lief Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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