Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-07 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	27
Rep	6
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	5
Ind	2
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+2	+3	0	0	0	24	0	24	+3
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-2	-3	5	1	6	-3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	27	23	50
Republican	6	42	48
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
49	30	19

Analysis

Heidi will eat the souls of her opponents and wear them as freckles! Ted Cruz will slither his way into a small victory and act like it was a landslide and a mandate.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	30/35	19/35	49/70	70.0%	1	30	272	T	483
2012 President	53/56	41/56	94/112	83.9%	2	331	367	T	760
2010 Senate	34/37	18/37	52/74	70.3%	2	45	181	T	456
2008 President	52/56	41/56	93/112	83.0%	13	16	139	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	23/33	56/66	84.8%	1	1	31	T	465
Aggregate Predictions	202/217	142/217	344/434	79.3%