Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-07-19 Version:1

Prediction Map

sirnick Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

sirnick Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	27
Rep	6
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	6
Ind	2
Tos	8
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+2	+3	0	0	0	23	1	24	+3
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-2	-3	5	1	6	-3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	27	23	50
Republican	6	42	48
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
53	30	23

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	49/56	44/56	93/112	83.0%		1	369	260	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%		1	367	25	T	423
2018 Senate	30/35	23/35	53/70	75.7%		1	110	132	T	483
2018 Governor	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%		1	112	38	T	372
2016 President	49/56	29/56	78/112	69.6%		2	116	325	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	18/34	48/68	70.6%		3	47	164	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	6/12	14/24	58.3%		1	166	67	T	279
2014 Senate	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%		3	27	82	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	14/36	45/72	62.5%		1	38	145	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		2	113	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	48/56	103/112	92.0%		4	19	26	T	760
2012 Senate	28/33	16/33	44/66	66.7%		2	61	211	T	343
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		1	41	37	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	17/37	51/74	68.9%		3	38	206	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	24/37	58/74	78.4%		1	13	74	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	7	1	T	103
Aggregate Predictions	456/507	316/507	772/1014	76.1%

User Info

sirnick Forum Profile

Links

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