Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-30 Version:6

Prediction Map

michaelfh10 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

michaelfh10 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	23
Rep	10
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	7
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-2	0	-2	22	0	22	-1
Rep	+2	0	+2	0	-1	-1	6	2	8	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	23	23	46
Republican	10	42	52
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	32	20

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	54/56	44/56	98/112	87.5%		15	7	74	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		1	4	194	T	423
2018 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		6	7	170	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	20/36	53/72	73.6%		1	45	164	T	372
2016 President	50/56	23/56	73/112	65.2%		26	0	496	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	18/34	50/68	73.5%		4	0	89	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		2	0	67	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	24/36	58/72	80.6%		32	3	60	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	13/36	45/72	62.5%		29	1	145	T	300
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		47	0	77	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	22/33	53/66	80.3%		14	0	56	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	8/11	18/22	81.8%		3	0	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	43/52	17/52	60/104	57.7%		9	-	41	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%		37	1	54	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	25/37	60/74	81.1%		17	0	45	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	516/562	331/562	847/1124	75.4%

Links

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