PredictionsNewsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - ChairmanSanchez (R-FL) ForumPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2017-11-27 Version:1

Prediction Map
ChairmanSanchez MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
ChairmanSanchez MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-10-122022+1
Rep+10+1-1-1-2516-1
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic24024
Republican707
Independent202
pie

Analysis

WV is a bit iffy. I think Manchin is vulnerable judging by what I've heard second hand from the homefolks, but I'll defer to POTUS on that one. I'm increasingly more worried about the House, though I'm not nearly as alarmed as some of our D-wherever posters think I should be.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate /33 /33 /66 % pie
P 2016 President 51/56 32/56 83/112 74.1% pie 1 57 114T
P 2014 Senate 33/36 17/36 50/72 69.4% pie 4 2 217T
P 2014 Governor 32/36 14/36 46/72 63.9% pie 3 9 123T
P 2012 President 54/56 45/56 99/112 88.4% pie 2 71 146T
P 2011 Governor 3/4 0/4 3/8 37.5% pie 1 283 92T
Aggregate Predictions 173/188 108/188 281/376 74.7% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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