Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-02 Version:1

Prediction Map

Spiral Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Spiral Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	29
Rep	4
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	4
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+3	+2	+5	0	0	0	24	0	24	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-3	-2	-5	3	1	4	-5
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	29	23	52
Republican	4	42	46
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
46	28	18

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%		2	1	266	T	305
2022 Governor	28/36	22/36	50/72	69.4%		3	0	235	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	6	28	T	118
2020 President	49/56	35/56	84/112	75.0%		1	7	575	T	684
2020 Senate	27/35	19/35	46/70	65.7%		1	5	380	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	7	51	T	293
2018 Senate	28/35	18/35	46/70	65.7%		1	4	362	T	483
2018 Governor	26/36	19/36	45/72	62.5%		1	6	295	T	372
2016 President	53/56	33/56	86/112	76.8%		1	37	48	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	21/34	53/68	77.9%		1	1	16	T	362
2016 Governor	11/12	5/12	16/24	66.7%		1	37	25	T	279
2015 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		3	0	1	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	25/36	60/72	83.3%		3	2	21	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%		2	2	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	12	1	T	153
Aggregate Predictions	368/425	246/425	614/850	72.2%

User Info

Spiral Forum Profile

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