PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - reyndani (I-WI) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:5

Prediction Map
reyndani MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
reyndani MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem23
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem23
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind2
 
Tos0
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-30-321021-1
Rep+30+3-1-1-2527+1
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic232346
Republican104252
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
613427
piepiepie

Analysis

I'm least confident in my picks on Indiana and Missouri, both could go either way. Based on the fundamentals of those races and their incumbents, Republicans should be favored ... but we'll see.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate 30/35 24/35 54/70 77.1% pie 3 1 205T305
P 2022 Governor 32/36 27/36 59/72 81.9% pie 3 1 88T272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 66 48T118
P 2020 President 52/56 46/56 98/112 87.5% pie 4 6 74T684
P 2020 Senate 33/35 27/35 60/70 85.7% pie 5 4 2T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 3 6 147T293
P 2019 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 4 9 130T192
P 2018 Senate 34/35 27/35 61/70 87.1% pie 5 1 1T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 27/36 59/72 81.9% pie 4 3 38T372
P 2016 President 50/56 32/56 82/112 73.2% pie 13 1 149T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 23/34 55/68 80.9% pie 16 1 2T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 11 0 67T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 6 0 8T112
P 2014 Senate 34/36 25/36 59/72 81.9% pie 29 2 42T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 18/36 49/72 68.1% pie 24 2 56T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 5 2 17T153
Aggregate Predictions 386/428 292/428 678/856 79.2% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

Back to 2018 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved