PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - Ernest (D-SC) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2017-11-15 Version:1

Prediction Map
Ernest MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Ernest MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem25
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Tos5
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+200023023+2
Rep000-1-1-2516-2
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic252348
Republican64248
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
462917
piepiepie

Analysis

Where I think it would be today, but there's no guarantee it will be this way. It's also likely the best the Democrats can hope for barring more Moores happening.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2018 Senate 29/35 17/35 46/70 65.7% pie 1 356 362T483
P 2016 President 50/56 28/56 78/112 69.6% pie 14 10 325T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 19/34 49/68 72.1% pie 1 73 120T362
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 19 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 40/56 95/112 84.8% pie 48 1 314T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 26/33 58/66 87.9% pie 22 0 2T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 1 89T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 36/52 13/52 49/104 47.1% pie 18 - 75T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 2 3 21T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 29/37 62/74 83.8% pie 1 3 17T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 137 92T103
P 2008 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 79 1 100T1,505
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 28/33 61/66 92.4% pie 17 2 2465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 29/36 64/72 88.9% pie 16 2 6T312
P 2004 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 47 1 66T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 486/536 347/536 833/1072 77.7% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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