PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - Vosem (R-IL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-23 Version:2

Prediction Map
Vosem MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Vosem MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos3
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+1-10-1230230
Rep+10+1-10-15380
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic242347
Republican94251
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
503119
piepiepie

Analysis

About high time I updated this; probably final predictions here unless something very drastic happens. No shift in the Senate; the parties exchange NV and ND. McSally, McCaskill, and Donnelly are all skin-of-their-teeth wins. Cruz and Nelson are both high double-digits and cross 50.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 51/56 41/56 92/112 82.1% pie 2 6 307T684
P 2020 Senate 32/35 21/35 53/70 75.7% pie 2 4 137T423
P 2018 Senate 31/35 19/35 50/70 71.4% pie 2 14 246T483
P 2018 Governor 30/36 15/36 45/72 62.5% pie 2 16 295T372
P 2016 President 44/56 23/56 67/112 59.8% pie 3 0 597T678
P 2016 Senate 31/34 16/34 47/68 69.1% pie 4 0 213T362
P 2014 Senate 34/36 26/36 60/72 83.3% pie 8 2 21T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 20/36 51/72 70.8% pie 7 2 22T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 0/2 2/4 50.0% pie 2 0 98T153
Aggregate Predictions 286/326 181/326 467/652 71.6% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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