Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:8
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 70)
Analysis
Arizona-Kirsten Sinema defeats Martha McSally D+1/California-Dianne Feinstein defeats Kevin de Leon/Connecticut-Chris Murphy defeats Matthew Corey/Delaware-Tom Carper defeats Robert Arlett/Florida-Bill Nelson defeats Rick Scott/Hawaii-Mazie Hirono wins to little opposition/Indiana-Joe Donnelly narrowly defeats Mike Braun (50.28-48.91)/Maine-Angus King defeats Eric Brakey and Zak Ringelstein/Maryland-Ben Cardin defeats Tony Campbell/Massachusetts-Elizabeth Warren defeats Geoff Diehl/Michigan-Debbie Stabenow defeats John James/Minnesota-Amy Klobuchar defeats Jim Newberger/Mississippi-Roger Wicker defeats David Baria/Missouri-Claire McCaskill narrowly defeats Josh Hawley (49.74-48.83)/Montana-Jon Tester defeats Matt Rosendale/Nebraska-Deb Fischer defeats Jane Raybould/Nevada-Jacky Rosen unseats Dean Heller D+2/New Jersey-Bob Menendez defeats Bob Hugin/New Mexico-Martin Heinrich defeats Mick Rich and Gary Johnson/New York-Kirsten Gillibrand defeats Chele Farley/North Dakota-Kevin Cramer narrowly defeats Heidi Heitkamp (50.12-49.72) D+1/Ohio-Sherrod Brown defeats Jim Renacci/Pennsylvania-Bob Casey Jr. defeats Lou Barletta/Rhode Island-Sheldon Whitehouse defeats Robert Flanders/Tennessee-Phil Bredesen narrowly defeats Marsha Blackburn (49.55-49.29) D+2/Texas-Beto O'Rourke narrowly defeats Ted Cruz (49.84-48.91) D+3/Utah-Mitt Romney defeats Jenny Wilson/Vermont-Bernie Sanders wins to minimal opposition/Virginia-Tim Kaine defeats Corey Stewart/Washington-Maria Cantwell defeats Susan Hutchinson/West Virginia-Joe Manchin defeats Patrick Morrisey/Wisconsin-Tammy Baldwin defeats Leah Vukmir/Wyoming-John Barrasso defeats Gary Trauner/MN special-Tina Smith defeats Karin Housley/MS special-Cindy Hyde-Smith defeats Mike Espy
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