PredictionsEndorse2018 Senatorial Predictions - Somenamelessfoo (D-TX) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:8

Prediction Map
Somenamelessfoo MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Somenamelessfoo MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem27
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
35 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep5
 
Ind2
 
Tos7
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+2+4-10-123023+3
Rep+10+1-2-2-4415-3
Ind0000002020


Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic272350
Republican64248
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
493019
piepiepie

Analysis

Arizona-Kirsten Sinema defeats Martha McSally D+1/California-Dianne Feinstein defeats Kevin de Leon/Connecticut-Chris Murphy defeats Matthew Corey/Delaware-Tom Carper defeats Robert Arlett/Florida-Bill Nelson defeats Rick Scott/Hawaii-Mazie Hirono wins to little opposition/Indiana-Joe Donnelly narrowly defeats Mike Braun (50.28-48.91)/Maine-Angus King defeats Eric Brakey and Zak Ringelstein/Maryland-Ben Cardin defeats Tony Campbell/Massachusetts-Elizabeth Warren defeats Geoff Diehl/Michigan-Debbie Stabenow defeats John James/Minnesota-Amy Klobuchar defeats Jim Newberger/Mississippi-Roger Wicker defeats David Baria/Missouri-Claire McCaskill narrowly defeats Josh Hawley (49.74-48.83)/Montana-Jon Tester defeats Matt Rosendale/Nebraska-Deb Fischer defeats Jane Raybould/Nevada-Jacky Rosen unseats Dean Heller D+2/New Jersey-Bob Menendez defeats Bob Hugin/New Mexico-Martin Heinrich defeats Mick Rich and Gary Johnson/New York-Kirsten Gillibrand defeats Chele Farley/North Dakota-Kevin Cramer narrowly defeats Heidi Heitkamp (50.12-49.72) D+1/Ohio-Sherrod Brown defeats Jim Renacci/Pennsylvania-Bob Casey Jr. defeats Lou Barletta/Rhode Island-Sheldon Whitehouse defeats Robert Flanders/Tennessee-Phil Bredesen narrowly defeats Marsha Blackburn (49.55-49.29) D+2/Texas-Beto O'Rourke narrowly defeats Ted Cruz (49.84-48.91) D+3/Utah-Mitt Romney defeats Jenny Wilson/Vermont-Bernie Sanders wins to minimal opposition/Virginia-Tim Kaine defeats Corey Stewart/Washington-Maria Cantwell defeats Susan Hutchinson/West Virginia-Joe Manchin defeats Patrick Morrisey/Wisconsin-Tammy Baldwin defeats Leah Vukmir/Wyoming-John Barrasso defeats Gary Trauner/MN special-Tina Smith defeats Karin Housley/MS special-Cindy Hyde-Smith defeats Mike Espy


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2023 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 40 49T115
P 2020 President 50/56 43/56 93/112 83.0% pie 2 14 260T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 21/35 52/70 74.3% pie 1 41 194T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 33 147T293
P 2018 Senate 30/35 19/35 49/70 70.0% pie 8 1 272T483
P 2018 Governor 31/36 27/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 3 56T372
P 2016 President 45/56 27/56 72/112 64.3% pie 1 11 527T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 15/34 45/68 66.2% pie 2 11 277T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 5/12 13/24 54.2% pie 2 11 119T279
Aggregate Predictions 239/278 165/278 404/556 72.7% pie



Arizona1 California1 California1 California1 California1 Connecticut1 Connecticut1 Delaware1 Florida1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Hawaii1 Indiana1 Maine1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Maryland1 Massachusetts1 Michigan1 Michigan1 Minnesota1 Minnesota2 Mississippi1 Mississippi2 Missouri1 Montana1 Nebraska1 Nevada1 New Jersey1 New Mexico1 New York1 New York1 North Dakota1 Ohio1 Pennsylvania1 Rhode Island1 Tennessee1 Texas1 Utah1 Vermont1 Virginia1 Virginia1 Washington1 Washington1 Washington1 West Virginia1 Wisconsin1 Wisconsin1 Wyoming1

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