Date of Prediction: 2017-11-14 Version:1
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 70)
Analysis
No gain/loss for either party. Dems gain AZ and NV, while GOP gains MO and IN ... GOP will come up just short in WV, ND, MT, WI, and OH, despite these states supporting Trump and having a recent Republican streak ... Old, established Senators will prevail in FL, PA, MI, and MN ... TX stays GOP, though Beto keeps it well within single digits ... UT could be fractured by a third party, but it is staying GOP, whether it be Romney or Hatch ... CA will reelect Feinstein whether her opponent is GOP or Dem, and she manages to get in the 60's on Election Day ... King in ME finishes right around 50% in a 3-way ME race, while Bernie cruises in VT, getting in the 60's with a Dem opponent, or 70's if it's only a GOP opponent ... Kaine in VA wins by a decent margin and doesn't reenact the Warner drama in '14 ... NJ will remain D, Menendez or otherwise ... WA, HI, MA, RI, CT, NY, MD and DE are obvious Dem holds. TN (despite open seat), MS, NE, and WY are obvious GOP holds ... Dems will take the House and pick up a bunch of Gov's races. Member Comments User's Predictions
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