Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2018-03-26 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	25
Rep	6
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	6
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	0	0	0	23	0	23	+2
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-1	-2	5	1	6	-2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	25	23	48
Republican	6	42	48
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
48	29	19

Analysis

Obviously, this is subject to change, but considering the Democrats' strong numbers this early in the game, the unfavorable map may be overcome by other factors and give the Democrats a modest pickup of two seats.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	50/56	39/56	89/112	79.5%	4	71	434	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	21/35	54/70	77.1%	1	221	101	T	423
2019 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	44	1	T	192
2018 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%	2	225	306	T	483
Aggregate Predictions	115/129	82/129	197/258	76.4%

User Info

leogreenberg Forum Profile

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Senatorial Predictions Home

Back to 2018 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home