Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-09-29 Version:3

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	4
Rep	29
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	4
Rep	29
Ind	2
Tos	0
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-19	-1	-20	4	0	4	-20
Rep	+19	+1	+20	0	0	0	6	3	9	+20
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	4	23	27
Republican	29	42	71
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
26	17	9

Analysis

If a fewer electoralers not vote DEM because Trump, Set stage for GOP huge gain. Around Hispanic in South west state no vote DEM..... No vote nothing... mean Republican and beyond. 2006 was High perform due to crisis. DEM lose promise, no high perform. Pay price of trump (and Trump go on). DEM no more in MI, NY Republican More and More... And DEM Shown By News Bad.... the reason I think is this Prediction I think.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: darthpi (D-PA) 2018-09-30 @ 13:48:34
This is just funny.

By: man_of_honor885 (-PA) 2018-10-04 @ 19:50:13
No offense to you but this is just disregarding the true nature of our current political climate

By: RileyUhr (D-NZL) 2018-10-07 @ 19:15:04
I wouldn't place money on this prediction lmao

By: boatfullogoats (R-ISR) 2018-10-08 @ 15:21:16
Ah, I didn't know Jeb Bush was running in 29 states

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	31/56	11/56	42/112	37.5%	5	222	682		684
2020 Senate	23/35	14/35	37/70	52.9%	1	355	418	T	423
2020 Governor	8/11	5/11	13/22	59.1%	1	357	275	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	0/3	1/6	16.7%	2	80	179	T	192
2018 Senate	17/35	9/35	26/70	37.1%	3	38	481		483
Aggregate Predictions	80/140	39/140	119/280	42.5%

Links

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